
Astera Labs
- Ticker
- ALAB
- Beat
- networking
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $392M
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $111M
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 10 days ago
A genuine pick-and-shovel monopoly on PCIe-Gen6 datacenter connectivity, growing 90%+ with 76% gross margins — but priced at ~26x forward sales with one customer (AWS) at ~70% of revenue; the moat is real, the price is the bet.
21 mentions across our dossiers
- BOTHBroadcom×5
- TRADETSMC×5
- RIVALCredo Technology×3
- RIVALMarvell Technology×3
- RIVALAlphawave IP×1
- RIVALMicrochip Technology×1
- RIVALMontage Technology×1
- RIVALRambus×1
- RIVALSemtech×1
“Competitors: Broadcom, Credo, Marvell, Microchip, Montage, Parade, Rambus — "compete with us with respect to some, but not all, of our solutions".”Broadcom · BOTH · from Astera Labs’s dossier
Weekly closes
- Short interest: 9,176,900 sh · 2.22 days to cover, FINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- Next print: in 4 days, Scheduled · 4 Nov 2026, scheduled
Who is buying
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 9,176,900 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 2.22
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Operating margin | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $36.9M USD | -5.4% share of revenue | -$1.1M USD | $736K USD | — | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 31 Dec 2023 | $50.5M USD | 17.9% share of revenue | $13.4M USD | $1.0M USD | $45.1M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 31 Mar 2024 | $65.3M USD | — | $228K USD | $3.4M USD | $696M USD | 155.7M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 30 Jun 2024 | $76.9M USD | -31.7% share of revenue | $31.1M USD | -$1.3M USD | $421M USD | 156.7M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 30 Sept 2024 | $113M USD | -7.9% share of revenue | $46.8M USD | $16.7M USD | $126M USD | 158.6M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 31 Dec 2024 | $141M USD | 0.1% share of revenue | $24.3M USD | $15.4M USD | $79.6M USD | 162.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 31 Mar 2025 | $159M USD | 7.1% share of revenue | $6.0M USD | $4.5M USD | $86.4M USD | 164.9M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 30 Jun 2025 | $192M USD | 20.7% share of revenue | $133M USD | $2.0M USD | $162M USD | 166.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 30 Sept 2025 | $231M USD | 24.0% share of revenue | $65.9M USD | $12.3M USD | $140M USD | 168.9M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 31 Dec 2025 | $271M USD | 24.7% share of revenue | $76.6M USD | $18.7M USD | $168M USD | 170.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 31 Mar 2026 | $308M USD | 20.1% share of revenue | $67.0M USD | $7.6M USD | $148M USD | 171.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 30 Jun 2026 | $392M USD | 22.7% share of revenue | $67.2M USD | $20.5M USD | $111M USD | 173.5M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
Astera Labs’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
A margin beyond ±100%, or on zero revenue, is left out as not meaningful.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | editorial note | Sources added: 0 → 9The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 9 (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md → deep-dive-2026-10-21.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-21 | editorial note | Margin figure revised: 75.7% → 73.3%Margin moved from 75.7% (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md) to 73.3% (deep-dive-2026-10-21.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-21 | editorial note | Revenue figure revised: $277.0M → $392.4MRevenue moved from $277.0M (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md) to $392.4M (deep-dive-2026-10-21.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-09 | filing | Form 4 cluster: three Astera Labs directors, 1-7 Oct 20263 insiders filed Form 4s: RSU grants of 68, 72 and 68 shares on 1 Oct; director Stefan Dyckerhoff also sold 12,499 shares at $376.06 on 7 Oct under a 10b5-1 plan. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4 |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q16 May 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q420 Feb 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q35 Nov 2025
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-18), 523 words, 14 filing mentions
- The dossier: What held, 63 words, no filing mention
The Astera Labs dossier
The verdict
A genuine pick-and-shovel monopoly on PCIe-Gen6 datacenter connectivity, growing 90%+ with 76% gross margins — but priced at ~26x forward sales with one customer (AWS) at ~70% of revenue; the moat is real, the price is the bet.
Primary sources
SEC filings
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-18)
- Q2-2026 revenue $392.4M, up 27% on Q1 ($308.4M in the dossier) and up 104% on Q2-2025 ($191.9M). Six-month revenue $700.8M ($351.4M a year earlier). Sequential growth of 27%. [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. 2026-08-05, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm; sec.gov: Form 8-KA filing for something that happened between reports and matters enough to tell shareholders now. 2026-08-04 exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000033/q226exhibit991.htm; three and six months ended 2026-06-30; Q1 comparative: research-layer: the previous dossier, Lens 5]
- Margins and profit. GAAP gross profit $287.6M, GAAP gross margin 73.3% (Q1 in the dossier: 76.3%, down about 300bp ); non-GAAP gross margin 73.7%. GAAP operating income $89.2M (22.7% margin), GAAP net income $153.1M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.83. Non-GAAP operating margin 39.1%, non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.80. Six-month GAAP net income $233.4M ($83.0M). [sec.gov: 8-K 2026-08-04 exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000033/q226exhibit991.htm; sec.gov: 10-Q 2026-08-05, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm; Q2-2026]
- Warrant contra-revenue. Warrants issued to a customer reduced revenue by $10.2M in Q2 ($1.8M in Q2-2025) and $12.3M in the six months ($2.1M). A new warrant was issued in February 2026 for up to 3,262,299 shares at $142.82, vesting on purchase tranches; 1,663,042 warrant shares were vested and exercisable at 2026-06-30 (1,165,513 at 2025-12-31). [sec.gov: 10-Q 2026-08-05, Note on customer warrants, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm]
- Customer concentration (10-Q labels customers A–F, without names). Q2 revenue shares: A 29%, B 25%, C 15%, D 13%; for the six months: A 29%, B 21%, C 17%, D 13%. The dossier's Q1 split was A 29%, B 21%, C 16%, D 12%, E 12%. Accounts receivable: A 30%, B 17%, D 12%, E 10% at 2026-06-30. The 10-Q does not name the customers. [sec.gov: 10-Q 2026-08-05, Note on concentrations, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm]
- Cash and cash flow. Cash $111.5M and marketable securities $1,141.5M at 2026-06-30 ($167.6M and $1,021.2M at 2025-12-31); together $1,253.0M. Operating cash flow was $162.3M for the six months ($145.9M a year earlier), so about $87.7M in Q2. Shares outstanding 173,485,104 at 2026-07-31. [sec.gov: 10-Q 2026-08-05, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm; Q1 operating cash flow: research-layer: the previous dossier, Lens 5]
- Balance sheet and acquisitions. Accounts receivable $192.5M ($83.2M at 2025-12-31); inventory $113.8M ($59.0M); goodwill $91.6M ($19.0M). The balance sheet shows no borrowings line; total liabilities $205.8M. On 2026-02-09 Astera bought assets of a private data-center acceleration company (preliminary goodwill $68.4M; cash paid for business combinations $69.2M in the six months), and made a second, immaterial asset purchase on 2026-05-29. [sec.gov: 10-Q 2026-08-05, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000035/alab-20260630.htm; as of 2026-06-30]
- Q3-2026 guide (8-K, 2026-08-04). Revenue $540–560M; GAAP gross margin about 72%; GAAP operating expenses $232–236M; GAAP diluted EPS $0.87–0.92 on about 185M diluted shares; non-GAAP EPS $1.16–1.21. Management says Scorpio X-Series switches become the largest product family in Q3, one quarter ahead of its prior expectation. The midpoint of the revenue guide implies about 40% sequential growth. [sec.gov: 8-K 2026-08-04 exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1736297/000173629726000033/q226exhibit991.htm; as of 2026-08-04]
Bearing on the position seed (facts only; the seed is unchanged). The seed names the "Q2 FY2026 print — watch Scorpio mix + the 200bps warrant GM drag + any deceleration" as a catalyst: Q2 revenue grew 27% sequentially, GAAP gross margin fell to 73.3% (item 2), and warrant contra-revenue was $10.2M (item 3). The seed's bear case cites "~70% single-customer concentration"; the 10-Q's largest customer (A) is 29% of Q2 revenue, and the 10-Q does not identify it.
What held
- Growth stayed above 100% year on year and the company remains profitable with no debt shown on the balance sheet extract read (items 1, 2, 5, 6).
- Scorpio is described as becoming the largest product line, as the dossier's Lens 5 ordering suggested (item 7).
- Customer concentration remains high: the top four customers were 82% of Q2 revenue (item 4).
How our view changed
2 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on Astera Labs, newest first.
- current
A genuine pick-and-shovel monopoly on PCIe-Gen6 datacenter connectivity, growing 90%+ with 76% gross margins
A genuine pick-and-shovel monopoly on PCIe-Gen6 datacenter connectivity, growing 90%+ with 76% gross margins
The research around Astera Labs
Covered in the Knowledge Base
Networking & Interconnect
Company details
| Industry | Cloud Computing |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Astera Labs |
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