Skip to content
Cerebras Systems logo
SemiconductorsPublic

Cerebras Systems

Wafer-scale AI compute

catalyst in 34dNo base rate yet — CBRS has 0 graded prints on the record, and the bar is 3.Website
Ticker
CBRS
Beat
hardware
Founded
2015
Revenue
$180M
as of Jun 2026
Cash
$6.7B
as of Jun 2026
Burn
$477M/qtr
as of Jun 2026
Runway
~3.5yr at this rate
as of Jun 2026
Researched · Fresh
13 days ago

Cerebras Systems designs wafer-scale AI processors — the WSE-3, a single chip the size of a dinner plate with ~900,000 cores and enough on-chip memory to hold large models without external DRAM. It sells on-prem CS-3 systems and a hosted Cerebras Inference cloud, competing with NVIDIA on inference latency. Founded 2015; went public on Nasdaq in May 2026 under ticker CBRS.

Orbit · who it trades with and competes with
12 on the rings · 7 trade · 6 rival
18 mentions across our dossiers
Focus · Hardware
Cerebras Systems
CBRS · public
TholoBbrief←→step through the orbitESCcloseclick a company to open ittap a company to read it, tap again to open it
Price

Weekly closes

CBRS · weekly close
110.82 USD−12.9%
Friday 23 Oct 2026 · last 24 Fridays 110.82–279.72
pick a pin
Every pin is a dated row
Solid: filed with the SEC, settled at FINRA, or a recorded split. Hollow: the scheduled print, past the last close, never a price.
  1. Insiders sold, 90 days: 2,107,346 sh · 8 filings, Form 4 · 27 Oct 2026
  2. Short interest: 14,118,546 sh · 2.1 days to cover, FINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
  3. Insiders bought, 90 days: 103,912 sh · 4 filings, Form 4 · 5 Oct 2026
  4. Next print: in 34 days, Scheduled · 3 Dec 2026, scheduled
110.82USD-12.9%hardware -4.1%CBRS · 24 weekly closes to 2026-10-23

Who is buying

Insiders sold, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 27 Oct 2026
8 filings · 2,107,346 shares
Insiders bought, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 5 Oct 2026
4 filings · 103,912 shares
Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
14,118,546 shares
Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
2.1
see the whole series
Financials

The reported figures

Revenue · quarterly
$180M
latest, Q2 ’26 · 4 periods stored
Filed · primary
Q2 ’26
$180M USD
as of 30 Jun 2026
Source: sec.gov
Cerebras Systems, quarterly figures held, Q1 ’25 to Q2 ’26
PeriodAs ofRevenueOperating marginFree cash flowCapexCashGradingSource
Q1 ’2531 Mar 2025$99.5M USD-28.6% share of revenue-$153M USD$98.2M USD—Filed · primarysec.gov
Q2 ’2530 Jun 2025$103M USD-55.3% share of revenue-$156M USD$86.8M USD—Filed · primarysec.gov
Q3 ’25no row held———————
Q4 ’2531 Dec 2025————$702M USDFiled · primarysec.gov
Q1 ’2631 Mar 2026$193M USD-7.8% share of revenue-$120M USD$132M USD$1.7B USDFiled · primarysec.gov
Q2 ’2630 Jun 2026$180M USD—-$477M USD$417M USD$6.7B USDFiled · primarysec.gov
The record

What happened

What happened
DateTypeWhat happenedSource
2026-10-17editorial noteSources added: 0 → 1The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 1 (deep-dive-2026-06-29.md → deep-dive-2026-10-17.md).dossier
2026-10-17editorial noteCapex figure revised: $132.0M → $548.9MCapex moved from $132.0M (deep-dive-2026-06-29.md) to $548.9M (deep-dive-2026-10-17.md).dossier
2026-10-17editorial noteMargin figure revised: 41% → 14%Margin moved from 41% (deep-dive-2026-06-29.md) to 14% (deep-dive-2026-10-17.md).dossier
2026-10-17editorial noteRevenue figure revised: 77.9% → $180.1MRevenue moved from 77.9% (deep-dive-2026-06-29.md) to $180.1M (deep-dive-2026-10-17.md).dossier
2026-06-29editorial noteVerdict changed: First public print HARDENS the bear-leaning thesis — the OpenAI "diversification" is now a quantified circular liability ($1B customer loan on the balance sheet + warrants) and the Q…Before (deep-dive-2026-06-25.md): First public print HARDENS the bear-leaning thesis — the OpenAI "diversification" is now a quantified circular liability ($1B customer loan on the balance sheet + warrants) and the Q2 gross-margin guide-down to 36–38% (from 47%) plus FY26 op-margin of −28/−32% prices the OpenAI ramp as expensive-before-profitable. FY26 revenue guide $855–865M comes in BELOW my $1.0B forecast. WATCHING, bear-leaning on valuation + margin trajectory. After (deep-dive-2026-06-29.md): The shelf RE-GROUNDS and partly CORRECTS the prior web-only read. Three filings-level facts reshape the thesis. (1) Concentration is NOT "OpenAI is the new whale" — as of the reported period the top two customers are MBZUAI (62% of FY25 revenue / 77.9% of AR) and G42 (24%), BOTH UAE-affiliated related parties = 86% of FY25 revenue; OpenAI is a forward 750MW contract (deploys 2026-2028) whose revenue has barely begun. (2) FY25 GAAP "net income $237.8M" is an accounting artifact of +$390.7M of non-operating Other income — dominated by a one-time $363.3M non-cash gain on extinguishment of the Series F forward-contract liability — while operations LOST $145.9M and non-GAAP net loss was $(75.7)M. (3) The margin guide-down is substantially a *reported-revenue* effect (customer-warrant amortization that reduces revenue + datacenter pass-through booked gross + rent-back start-up costs), per management a 10-15pt transitional drag, not purely "inference is structurally low-margin." Net: real wafer-scale architectural edge, genuinely circular AI-infra financing now on the balance sheet (~$1.0B OpenAI working-capital loan at 6% + OpenAI & AWS customer warrants), still UAE-concentrated revenue, ~46x FY26-guide sales vs CoreWeave at ~7x. WATCHING, bear-leaning on valuation; the structural short case is weaker than the prior dossier asserted and the *transitional-margin* read is more defensible.dossier
2026-06-25editorial noteVerdict changed: Real wafer-scale inference moat priced at ~92x sales on demand that is circular (OpenAI is customer + lender + shareholder) and concentrated — the IPO swapped UAE concentration for O…Before (deep-dive-2026-06-15.md): Real wafer-scale inference moat priced at ~92x sales on demand that is circular (OpenAI is customer + lender + shareholder) and concentrated — the IPO swapped UAE concentration for OpenAI concentration. WATCHING, bear-leaning on valuation. After (deep-dive-2026-06-25.md): First public print HARDENS the bear-leaning thesis — the OpenAI "diversification" is now a quantified circular liability ($1B customer loan on the balance sheet + warrants) and the Q2 gross-margin guide-down to 36–38% (from 47%) plus FY26 op-margin of −28/−32% prices the OpenAI ramp as expensive-before-profitable. FY26 revenue guide $855–865M comes in BELOW my $1.0B forecast. WATCHING, bear-leaning on valuation + margin trajectory.dossier
dossier age
13 days
researched 17 Oct 2026 · ring fills at 180
pick a section
Each column is a section of the dossier
Its height is how many times the section names a filing: 11 mentions across 2 sections. A dashed foot names none.
Primary sources
  1. The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-29), 842 words, 10 filing mentions
  2. The dossier: What held, 81 words, 1 filing mention
Research

The Cerebras Systems dossier

The verdict

The shelf RE-GROUNDS and partly CORRECTS the prior web-only read. Three filings-level facts reshape the thesis. (1) Concentration is NOT "OpenAI is the new whale" — as of the reported period the top two customers are MBZUAI (62% of FY25 revenue / 77.9% of AR) and G42 (24%), BOTH UAE-affiliated related parties = 86% of FY25 revenue; OpenAI is a forward 750MW contract (deploys 2026-2028) whose revenue has barely begun. (2) FY25 GAAP "net income $237.8M" is an accounting artifact of +$390.7M of non-operating Other income — dominated by a one-time $363.3M non-cash gain on extinguishment of the Series F forward-contract liability — while operations LOST $145.9M and non-GAAP net loss was $(75.7)M. (3) The margin guide-down is substantially a *reported-revenue* effect (customer-warrant amortization that reduces revenue + datacenter pass-through booked gross + rent-back start-up costs), per management a 10-15pt transitional drag, not purely "inference is structurally low-margin." Net: real wafer-scale architectural edge, genuinely circular AI-infra financing now on the balance sheet (~$1.0B OpenAI working-capital loan at 6% + OpenAI & AWS customer warrants), still UAE-concentrated revenue, ~46x FY26-guide sales vs CoreWeave at ~7x. WATCHING, bear-leaning on valuation; the structural short case is weaker than the prior dossier asserted and the *transitional-margin* read is more defensible.

Refresh delta (since 2026-06-29)

  1. Q2 2026 revenue was $180.1M, up 74% YoY and below Q1's $193.4M. Quarter ended 2026-06-30: total revenue $180,110K vs $103,322K. Hardware was $54.1M (−23% YoY); Cloud and other services $126.0M (+281%). First-half revenue was $373.5M, up 84%. Q1 revenue matches the dossier's Q1 figure [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. filed 2026-08-12, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2021728/000162828026056357/cbrs-20260630.htm].

  2. GAAP loss from operations was $(477.2)M, most of it stock compensation tied to the IPO. Stock-based compensation and related payroll tax added back in the core reconciliation were in the quarter. Operating expenses were $502.8M vs $89.3M. R&D rose $259.4M, of which $228.0M was IPO-related stock-based compensation and related tax. Net loss was $(450.5)M, or $(2.98) per share on 151.0M weighted shares, against net income of $309.5M in Q2 2025, which included $368.4M of other income. First-half GAAP net loss was $(464.5)M.

  3. GAAP gross margin was 14%, against the dossier's Q1 GAAP margin of 44.6%. Q2 gross profit was $25.6M. The 10-Q attributes the fall to amortisation of customer warrant assets as a reduction of revenue ($44.3M in the quarter, $46.3M in the half) and IPO-related stock compensation ($15.8M in cost of revenue). Hardware gross margin was 2% and cloud 20%.

  4. Core measures, as the 10-Q defines them. Core gross profit was $85.2M, core operating loss $(33.6)M and core net loss $(6.9)M for Q2. Core gross margin. Core operating margin on the same base. The dossier recorded a Q2 core gross-margin guide of 36–38% and a core operating margin guide of −30/−32%; the guide's own revenue basis was not re-read here, so the comparison is indicative only.

  5. Contracted backlog: $25.4B of remaining performance obligations at 2026-06-30, "a significant amount" tied to the OpenAI agreement. About 22% is expected within 24 months to 2028-06-30, 43% in months 25–48, and the rest later. OpenAI also holds an option for a further 1.25GW, for up to 2.0GW in total, in tranches by end-2030.

  6. OpenAI revenue and financing. Revenue recognised under the OpenAI arrangement was $56.8M in Q2 and $74.4M in the half, net of customer-warrant amortisation of $2.5M and $3.3M. Gross of that amortisation. The ~$1.0B working-capital loan stood at $918.2M principal at 2026-06-30 ($736.0M current, $182.2M non-current), after $86.3M of non-cash repayments through services and other credits against $1,004.6M received in January. OpenAI-arrangement revenue of Q2 revenue.

  7. Customer concentration, by letter. Customer A was 34% of Q2 revenue (49% for the half); Customer B 32% (20% for the half, and under 10% a year earlier); Customer C 10%. Customer A and Customer D (10% of the half) are related parties of each other under ASC 850. At 2026-06-30 Customer B was 57% of receivables and Customer D 19%. The 10-Q does not name any of them. The dossier's FY2025 figures (MBZUAI 62%, G42 24%) are from the 424B4, not from this filing.

  8. Geography, Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025. United States $84.0M (vs $30.2M); EMEA $95.7M (vs $73.0M). Half-year US $154.1M vs $105.1M; EMEA $218.9M vs $97.6M. The dossier's FY2025 split was US $187.6M and EMEA $322.2M.

  9. IPO proceeds and liquidity. The IPO closed 2026-05-15: 34,500,000 Class A shares at $185.00, including the full overallotment option, for net proceeds of about $6.2B. At 2026-06-30: cash $6,742.2M, restricted cash $684.7M, investments $1,179.4M. Stockholders' equity was $9,154.6M against a $(578.7)M deficit at 2025-12-31. The dossier's IPO net proceeds of ~$5,408.5M came from the prospectus.

  10. Customer warrants and capex. Customer-warrant assets were $167.8M current plus $960.6M non-current against $152.4M at 2025-12-31; the remaining balance is amortised against revenue through October 2031. First-half Capital expenditureMoney spent on long-lived things — buildings, machines, servers — rather than on running costs. on property and equipment was $548.9M and operating cash flow $(47.5)M. Net property and equipment was $986.8M vs $437.4M. Customer deposits fell to $242.7M from $354.5M; inventories were $32.7M vs $63.6M at year end. The dossier carried inventory of $89.0M at 2026-03-31.

  11. Share count and credit facility. At 2026-08-05: 112,247,109 Class A, 111,601,424 Class B and 13,715,508 Class N shares outstanding, against the dossier's 215,110,345 immediately after the IPO. A revolver agreed 2026-04-14 rose to $850.0M on 2026-06-17 (maturity 2031-04-14, $150.0M minimum liquidity covenant, nothing borrowed at 2026-06-30). The lock-up ends at the earlier of two trading days after Q3 2026 earnings and 180 days after the prospectus.

  12. Legal. Part II Item 1 repeats that Cerebras is not presently a party to litigation it believes would have a material adverse effect.

Where the new facts touch the dossier's own lines (stated as fact; the lines stay as written). The verdict and seed describe revenue "86% UAE-concentrated (MBZUAI + G42, related parties)". The 10-Q's Q2 and half-year concentration table shows two related-party customers (A and D) at 34% and, for the half, 10%, and a new Customer B at 32% that the filing does not name. The seed's cash-and-valuation framing rests on web prices; the 10-Q has no market price, so the ~46x FY26-guide multiple is not recomputed. The seed's catalysts list the Q2 print and "OpenAI loan/warrant + revenue-recognition + related-party detail"; this 10-Q is that filing, and items 4 to 7 report what it says. The dossier states no live MarketCall tracks CBRS.

What held

  • The business is still loss-making on a GAAP operating basis, now by far more because of IPO stock compensation (items 2, 3).
  • Cloud is still the fast-growing line (+281% YoY) and hardware is shrinking year on year (item 1).
  • The OpenAI loan and warrants are still on the balance sheet and still net against revenue and billings, with $86.3M of the loan already settled non-cash (items 6, 10).
  • The 10-Q still discloses no material litigation (item 12).

How our view changed

4 dossiers

Every dossier we have written on Cerebras Systems, newest first.

  1. current

    The shelf RE-GROUNDS and partly CORRECTS the prior web-only read.

  2. The shelf RE-GROUNDS and partly CORRECTS the prior web-only read.

  3. First public print HARDENS the bear-leaning thesis

  4. Real wafer-scale inference moat priced at ~92x sales on demand that is circular (OpenAI is customer + lender + shareholder) and concentrated

Research trail

The research around Cerebras Systems

Covered in the Knowledge Base

Hardware — Memory & Compute Architecture

Open Positions

2 roles

Company details

IndustrySemiconductors
Founded2015
WebsiteVisit Cerebras Systems

Others in hardware

5 names

Where Cerebras Systems sits against the other names we cover on this beat. Each line is that company’s verdict, not a summary of it.