
Advanced Micro Devices
- Ticker
- AMD
- Beat
- hardware
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $11.5B
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $5.1B
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 23 days ago
The number-two AI compute franchise is finally real (DC $16.6B FY25, MI450/OpenAI 6GW signed) — but at ~58x forward EPS with 320M warrant shares of dilution overhang and an analyst PT below spot, the stock has already priced the win. WATCHING, not chasing.
5 mentions across our dossiers
“Map: photonic IP/design (Oriole) → silicon-photonics fab (Tower) → packaging/module assembly → integration with accelerator vendor (AMD) → end buyer (ARIA / hyperscalers / neoclouds).”Oriole Networks · TRADE · from Oriole Networks’s dossier
Weekly closes
- Insiders sold, 90 days: 150,000 sh · 3 filings, Form 4 · 15 Oct 2026
- Short interest: 39,281,942 sh · 1.63 days to cover, FINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- Next print: in 94 days, Scheduled · 2 Feb 2027, scheduled
Who is buying
- Insiders sold, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 15 Oct 2026
- 3 filings · 150,000 shares
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 39,281,942 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 1.63
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Gross margin | Operating margin | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Net debt | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $5.8B USD | — | 3.9% share of revenue | $297M USD | $124M USD | $3.6B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 30 Dec 2023 | $6.2B USD | — | 5.5% share of revenue | $242M USD | $139M USD | $3.9B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 30 Mar 2024 | $5.5B USD | — | 0.7% share of revenue | $379M USD | $142M USD | $4.2B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 29 Jun 2024 | $5.8B USD | — | 4.6% share of revenue | $439M USD | $154M USD | $4.1B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 28 Sept 2024 | $6.8B USD | — | 10.6% share of revenue | $496M USD | $132M USD | $3.9B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 28 Dec 2024 | $7.7B USD | — | 11.4% share of revenue | $1.1B USD | $208M USD | $3.8B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 29 Mar 2025 | $7.4B USD | — | 10.8% share of revenue | $727M USD | $212M USD | $6.0B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 28 Jun 2025 | $7.7B USD | — | -1.7% share of revenue | $1.7B USD | $282M USD | $4.4B USD | — | 1.62B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 27 Sept 2025 | $9.2B USD | — | 13.7% share of revenue | $1.9B USD | $258M USD | $4.8B USD | — | 1.63B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 27 Dec 2025 | $10.3B USD | — | 17.1% share of revenue | $2.4B USD | $222M USD | $5.5B USD | — | 1.63B shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 28 Mar 2026 | $10.3B USD | 52.8% share of revenue | 14.4% share of revenue | $2.6B USD | $389M USD | $5.6B USD | -$2.4B USD | 1.63B shares | Filed · primary | 10-q-2026-q1 |
| Q2 ’26 | 27 Jun 2026 | $11.5B USD | 53.8% share of revenue | 17.3% share of revenue | $1.6B USD | $808M USD | $5.1B USD | -$1.9B USD | 1.63B shares | Filed · primary | 10-q-2026-q2 |
Advanced Micro Devices’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
CashDebt
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | editorial note | Verdict changed: The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2027 — while the stock rose only …Before (deep-dive-2026-09-25.md): The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2027 — while the stock rose only ~18%, so the multiple compressed rather than expanded. The June "priced for perfection" charge is weaker than it was; what replaced it is a larger, more concentrated, more debt-and-prepayment-funded bet on one ramp (Helios/MI450) that has not shipped a rack yet. After (deep-dive-2026-10-08.md): AMD signed a merger agreement on 2026-09-26 to buy World Labs, Fei-Fei Li's spatial-AI lab, for about $8.2B paid entirely in AMD stock. The share count is not fixed; it floats on a 10-day VWAP ending two trading days before closing. At recent prices that is roughly 12.6M to 13.7M new shares, about 0.8% of the 1.632B shares outstanding, so the dilution is small next to the 320M-share OpenAI/Meta warrants. It is the largest of AMD's 2026 tuck-ins and its second-largest deal ever by press count, but it does not move the earnings path. Taalas and FastFlowLM are still NOT confirmed by any AMD SEC filing; only press reports and AMD's own (non-filed) announcements describe them. The thesis rides on Helios exactly as before. Direction WATCHING, conviction MEDIUM, unchanged. | dossier |
| 2026-09-28 | filing | 8-K Item 3.02: AMD agrees to acquire World Labs for about $8.2bn in stockMerger agreement entered 26 Sep 2026 to acquire all equity of World Labs Technologies, Inc. for about $8.2bn paid in AMD common stock; share count set by a 10-day VWAP before closing. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 8-K |
| 2026-09-25 | editorial note | Verdict changed: The number-two AI compute franchise is finally real (DC $16.6B FY25, MI450/OpenAI 6GW signed) — but at ~58x forward EPS with 320M warrant shares of dilution overhang and an analyst P…Before (deep-dive-2026-06-17.md): The number-two AI compute franchise is finally real (DC $16.6B FY25, MI450/OpenAI 6GW signed) — but at ~58x forward EPS with 320M warrant shares of dilution overhang and an analyst PT below spot, the stock has already priced the win. WATCHING, not chasing. After (deep-dive-2026-09-25.md): The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2027 — while the stock rose only ~18%, so the multiple compressed rather than expanded. The June "priced for perfection" charge is weaker than it was; what replaced it is a larger, more concentrated, more debt-and-prepayment-funded bet on one ramp (Helios/MI450) that has not shipped a rack yet. | dossier |
- 8-K · 2026-Q328 Sept 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q319 Aug 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q317 Aug 2026
- 10-Q · 2026-Q25 Aug 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q34 Aug 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q21 Jul 2026
- Earnings Call · 2026-Q230 Jun 2026
- 10-Q · 2026-Q16 May 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q124 Feb 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q44 Feb 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q35 Nov 2025
- 10-Q · 2025-Q26 Aug 2025
- 10-Q · 2025-Q17 May 2025
- 10-K · 2024-Q45 Feb 2025
- 10-Q · 2024-Q330 Oct 2024
- 10-Q · 2024-Q231 Jul 2024
- 10-Q · 2024-Q11 May 2024
- 10-K · 2023-Q431 Jan 2024
- 10-K · 2022-Q427 Feb 2023
- Refresh delta (since 2026-09-25): What changed, 399 words, 6 filing mentions
- Refresh delta (since 2026-09-25): What held, 109 words, 3 filing mentions
- Understand the business: Lenses 1–4 — carried, 21 words, no filing mention
- Measure performance: Lenses 5–7 — carried, 7 words, no filing mention
- Measure performance: Stock-Price Catalysts — re-run (one addition), 101 words, 3 filing mentions
- Judge people & books: Management — re-run (acquisitions), 309 words, 5 filing mentions
- Judge people & books: Forensic Red Flags — re-run (one item), 116 words, 3 filing mentions
- Project & stress-test: Lenses 11–14 — carried, 71 words, no filing mention
- Shelf & provenance summary (this run): Shelf & provenance summary (this run), 79 words, 3 filing mentions
The Advanced Micro Devices dossier
The verdict
AMD signed a merger agreement on 2026-09-26 to buy World Labs, Fei-Fei Li's spatial-AI lab, for about $8.2B paid entirely in AMD stock. The share count is not fixed; it floats on a 10-day VWAP ending two trading days before closing. At recent prices that is roughly 12.6M to 13.7M new shares, about 0.8% of the 1.632B shares outstanding, so the dilution is small next to the 320M-share OpenAI/Meta warrants. It is the largest of AMD's 2026 tuck-ins and its second-largest deal ever by press count, but it does not move the earnings path. Taalas and FastFlowLM are still NOT confirmed by any AMD SEC filing; only press reports and AMD's own (non-filed) announcements describe them. The thesis rides on Helios exactly as before. Direction WATCHING, conviction MEDIUM, unchanged.
Primary sources
SEC filings
- 8-K · 2026-Q3 · filed Sep 28, 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q3 · filed Aug 19, 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q3 · filed Aug 17, 2026
- 10-Q · 2026-Q2 · filed Aug 5, 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q3 · filed Aug 4, 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q2 · filed Jul 1, 2026
- 10-Q · 2026-Q1 · filed May 6, 2026
- 8-K · 2026-Q1 · filed Feb 24, 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q4 · filed Feb 4, 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q3 · filed Nov 5, 2025
- 10-Q · 2025-Q2 · filed Aug 6, 2025
- 10-Q · 2025-Q1 · filed May 7, 2025
- 10-K · 2024-Q4 · filed Feb 5, 2025
- 10-Q · 2024-Q3 · filed Oct 30, 2024
- 10-Q · 2024-Q2 · filed Jul 31, 2024
- 10-Q · 2024-Q1 · filed May 1, 2024
- 10-K · 2023-Q4 · filed Jan 31, 2024
- 10-K · 2022-Q4 · filed Feb 27, 2023
Earnings calls
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-09-25)
What changed
- AMD agreed to buy World Labs for about $8.2B, all in stock. The Form 8-KA filing for something that happened between reports and matters enough to tell shareholders now. says: on 2026-09-26 AMD "entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger … to acquire all of the equity interests in World Labs Technologies, Inc. … for a total purchase price of approximately $8.2 billion to be paid in shares of the Company's common stock … subject to customary adjustments"
[SEC: 8-K, 2026-09-28, 0000002488-26-000182]. It was filed under Item 3.02 (unregistered sales of equity), not Item 1.01 or 2.01, and the filing has no exhibits: the merger agreement and a press release are not filed[SEC: filing index, 0000002488-26-000182]. - The number of shares is not fixed yet. The filing says the count "is not known" and will be set by "the daily volume-weighted average price … over the ten (10) consecutive trading-day period ending on and including the second trading day immediately preceding the closing date"
[SEC: 8-K, 2026-09-28, 0000002488-26-000182]. So the dollar value is fixed and the share count floats: a higher AMD price means fewer shares issued. The shares are issued privately under Section 4(a)(2) and/or Regulation D Rule 506, not in a public offering[same]. - Dilution is under 1%. The latest Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. cover shows 1,632,475,042 shares outstanding as of 2026-07-29
[SEC: 10-Q, 2026-08-05, 0000002488-26-000123, cover page]. Illustrative share counts at actual closes:
| Price basis (illustrative, not the VWAP) | New shares | % of 1,632.5M |
|---|---|---|
| $630.63 (2026-09-25, last close before signing) | ~13.0M | ~0.80% |
| $607.87 (2026-09-28, announcement day) | ~13.5M | ~0.83% |
| $645.86 (2026-10-07, latest close) | ~12.7M | ~0.78% |
| $600 to $650 band | ~13.7M to ~12.6M | ~0.84% to ~0.77% |
. The real count is unknown until closing, and "customary adjustments" (cash, debt, working capital, likely) can move the $8.2B. The closing date is not in the filing. Press reports say "by end of 2026" and subject to regulatory approval.
4. Scale against what is already on the cap table. The OpenAI and Meta warrants are up to 320M shares combined, none vested at 2026-06-27 [SEC: 10-Q, 2026-08-05, 0000002488-26-000123, equity note; carried from prior dossier]. That is ~19.6% of shares outstanding. World Labs adds roughly one twenty-fifth of that. By market value the deal is ~0.8% of AMD.
5. The stock fell 3.6% on announcement day ($630.63 → $607.87, 2026-09-28) and has since risen to $645.86. No cause is attributed in a primary source; the drop may or may not be the deal.
What held
- The Helios thesis is unchanged. The 8-K is silent on revenue, guidance or strategy. Press reporting says World Labs builds "spatial intelligence" models (3D world generation, robotics simulation; first product "Marble"), that it trained on AMD GPUs, and that Fei-Fei Li becomes AMD EVP and Chief Scientist reporting to Lisa Su. None of that is in a filing.
- Taalas and FastFlowLM are still not primary-confirmed. See Lens 9 below.
- No other material filing since 2026-09-25. The submissions feed shows only this 8-K plus Forms 4 and 144 (2026-09-10 to 2026-09-17) since the prior dossier
[SEC: data.sec.gov submissions CIK0000002488, fetched 2026-10-08]. The Q3 10-Q is not out.
Phase A — Understand the business
Lenses 1–4 — carried
Unchanged. See the previous dossier. World Labs is not yet consolidated and has no reported revenue in any AMD filing.
Phase B — Measure performance
Lenses 5–7 — carried
No new print. See the previous dossier.
Stock-Price Catalysts — re-run (one addition)
- New catalyst: World Labs closing. The share count is struck on the 10-day VWAP ending two trading days before close; the issue shows up in the 10-Q or Form 10-KA company’s audited annual report to the US regulator. The most complete thing it publishes. for the closing quarter. Watch the Q3 10-Q (~early Nov) for a subsequent-events note with the expected share count, any Ex-2.1 merger agreement, and any HSR/regulatory timing.
- Price note. The prior dossier gave ~$615 at the 2026-09-24 close. Yahoo has $629.26 on 09-24 and $614.61 on 09-23. Likely a one-day offset in the earlier source; recorded, not resolved.
- Since the prior dossier: $630.63 (09-25) → $645.86 (10-07), +2.4%.
Phase C — Judge people & books
Management — re-run (acquisitions)
The open question from 2026-09-25: verify Taalas and FastFlowLM from primary sources.
| Deal | What a primary source says | Status |
|---|---|---|
| World Labs | Merger agreement signed 2026-09-26, ~$8.2B in AMD stock, share count on 10-day VWAP [SEC: 8-K, 2026-09-28, 0000002488-26-000182] | Primary-confirmed (terms partial: agreement not filed) |
| MEXT | "Acquired MEXT, adding AI-powered predictive memory technology" [SEC: 8-K Ex-99.1, 2026-08-04, 0000002488-26-000121] | Primary-confirmed, terms not disclosed |
| Taalas | No AMD filing names it. EDGAR full-text search for "Taalas" (2026-06-01 → 2026-10-08) returns 28 hits, all Fidelity fund N-PORT holdings reports, none filed by AMD [SEC EFTS: "Taalas", 2026-10-08]. Press says AMD announced it 2026-08-06; price undisclosed; ~25 employees; outlets disagree on whether it has closed | Not primary-confirmed |
| FastFlowLM | EDGAR full-text search returns 0 hits [SEC EFTS: "FastFlowLM", 2026-10-08]. Press says the team joined AMD's AI Group around July 2026 | Not primary-confirmed |
Plain reading: AMD's Q2 10-Q says only that it "completed acquisitions that were immaterial both individually and in aggregate" [SEC: 10-Q, 2026-08-05, 0000002488-26-000123, Note 5]. Small deals like Taalas and FastFlowLM can legally stay unnamed if they are immaterial, so absence from filings is not evidence they did not happen. It does mean their price and whether they were paid in stock or cash is not found in any primary source. The brief's framing that World Labs is "a third stock-funded deal" can only be half-checked: World Labs is stock-funded per the filing; the funding of Taalas and FastFlowLM is unknown. Fidelity funds holding Taalas shares is a possible later check: if their next N-PORT shows the line converted to AMD stock, that would be indirect primary evidence of a stock deal.
People. Fei-Fei Li to AMD as EVP and Chief Scientist. No Item 5.02 8-K has been filed for her appointment as of 2026-10-08 [SEC: submissions feed, 2026-10-08]; whether one is required depends on whether she becomes an executive officer.
Forensic Red Flags — re-run (one item)
- Disclosure light on an $8.2B deal. Filing only Item 3.02, with no merger agreement attached, is permitted but thin. AMD is very large, so $8.2B (~0.8% of market value) may sit below the significance test that would force a fuller filing. Watch for the agreement as an exhibit to the Q3 10-Q.
- Goodwill. An all-stock purchase of a pre-revenue research lab will land mostly in goodwill and intangibles, adding to the impairment exposure the 10-Q risk factors already flag
[SEC: 10-Q, 2026-08-05, Item 1A]. Size unknown until the purchase-price allocation. - Acquisition-related cost will run through the non-GAAP add-backs; watch the Q4 reconciliation.
- Everything else carried from
the previous dossierLens 10.
Phase D — Project & stress-test
Lenses 11–14 — carried
FY26/FY27 projections in the previous dossier Lens 11 are unchanged. At ~13M extra shares the FY27 per-share effect is under 1%, below the precision of the projection. Add one management question to Lens 14:
- N4. What does World Labs add to Data Center revenue or roadmap by 2027, what is the expected closing date and share count, and what did Taalas and FastFlowLM cost and how were they paid?
Shelf & provenance summary (this run)
- Added:
filings/8-k-2026-09-28-world-labs.md(primary document text; no exhibits exist). - Checked, nothing new: submissions feed since 2026-09-25 (only Forms 4/144 besides the 8-K); EDGAR full-text search for Taalas, FastFlowLM, World Labs.
- Not found in any primary source: World Labs closing date, the actual share count, the merger agreement text; Taalas and FastFlowLM price, funding and closing status.
- Still open from 2026-09-25: 10-K Item 3, Helios Q3 shipment, Q3 date on ir.amd.com, peer multiples, workbook rebuild, DB ingest.
How our view changed
3 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on Advanced Micro Devices, newest first.
- current
AMD signed a merger agreement on 2026-09-26 to buy World Labs, Fei-Fei Li's spatial-AI lab, for about $8.2B paid entirely in AMD stock.
The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2…
The number-two AI compute franchise is finally real (DC $16.6B FY25, MI450/OpenAI 6GW signed)
The research around Advanced Micro Devices
Covered in the Knowledge Base
Hardware — Memory & Compute Architecture
Company details
| Industry | Semiconductors |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Advanced Micro Devices |
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