Joby Aviation
- Ticker
- JOBY
- Beat
- robotics
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $38.6M
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $630M
- as of Jun 2026
- Burn
- $202M/qtr
- as of Jun 2026
- Runway
- ~3 qtr at this rate
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 7 days ago
A funded, certification-stage option on being the first FAA-certified eVTOL — real moat in vertical integration + a fortress balance sheet, but priced for flawless execution with zero core revenue and a binary 2026 catalyst.
NO LINKS READ YET · no published dossier names Joby Aviation beside another company
Weekly closes
- Insiders sold, 90 days: 676,285 sh · 4 filings, Form 4 · 5 Oct 2026
- Short interest: 127,280,673 sh · 5.6 days to cover, FINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- Insiders bought, 90 days: 104,510 sh · 13 filings, Form 4 · 12 Oct 2026
- Next print: in 5 days, Scheduled · 5 Nov 2026, scheduled
Who is buying
- Insiders sold, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 5 Oct 2026
- 4 filings · 676,285 shares
- Insiders bought, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 12 Oct 2026
- 13 filings · 104,510 shares
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 127,280,673 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 5.6
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $0 USD | -$88.8M USD | $8.6M USD | $480M USD | 696.3M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 31 Dec 2023 | $1.0M USD | -$91.2M USD | $7.9M USD | $204M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 31 Mar 2024 | $25K USD | -$114M USD | $6.9M USD | $111M USD | 708.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 30 Jun 2024 | $28K USD | -$107M USD | $8.5M USD | $175M USD | 716.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 30 Sept 2024 | $28K USD | -$120M USD | $9.9M USD | $152M USD | 765.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 31 Dec 2024 | $55K USD | -$136M USD | $15.4M USD | $200M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 31 Mar 2025 | $0 USD | -$126M USD | $15.0M USD | $122M USD | 791.8M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 30 Jun 2025 | $15K USD | -$119M USD | $12.1M USD | $336M USD | 856.0M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 30 Sept 2025 | $22.6M USD | -$152M USD | $13.0M USD | $208M USD | 911.8M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 31 Dec 2025 | $30.8M USD | -$167M USD | $13.8M USD | $241M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 31 Mar 2026 | $24.2M USD | -$222M USD | $77.9M USD | $875M USD | 983.6M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 30 Jun 2026 | $38.6M USD | -$202M USD | $28.6M USD | $630M USD | 989.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
Joby Aviation’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
CashDebt
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Sources added: 0 → 8The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 8 (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md → deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Capex figure revised: $78M → $29MCapex moved from $78M (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md) to $29M (deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Revenue figure revised: $53.4M → $38.6MRevenue moved from $53.4M (deep-dive-2026-06-18.md) to $38.6M (deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-06 | filing | Form 4 cluster: five Joby Aviation insiders report RSU grants and one sale5 Form 4s dated 5 Oct 2026: four insiders received RSU grants of 2,773 or 2,971 shares at $0; Bowles sold 5,302 shares at a weighted average $5.78 under a 10b5-1 plan. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4 |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q16 May 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q427 Feb 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q36 Nov 2025
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-18), 709 words, 17 filing mentions
- The dossier: What held, 120 words, 5 filing mentions
The Joby Aviation dossier
The verdict
A funded, certification-stage option on being the first FAA-certified eVTOL — real moat in vertical integration + a fortress balance sheet, but priced for flawless execution with zero core revenue and a binary 2026 catalyst.
Primary sources
SEC filings
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-18)
- Q2 results. Revenue $38.6M (Q2 2025: $0.015M); six-month revenue $62.9M. Research and development $194.7M (Q2 2025: $136.4M). Selling, general and administrative $76.6M (Q2 2025: $31.5M). Loss from operations $(260.9)M (Q2 2025: $(167.9)M). Net loss $(245.4)M, $(0.25) per share (Q2 2025: $(324.7)M, $(0.41)). Other income was a net gain of $15.6M, helped by a $122.9M favourable swing in the fair value of warrants, earnout shares and contingent consideration against Q2 2025. [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. filed 2026-08-06, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000435/joby-20260630.htm; quarter ended 2026-06-30]
- Blade revenue and guidance. Blade generated $36.2M of Q2 revenue. Full-year 2026 total revenue outlook was raised to $115M-$125M. Second-half 2026 use of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments is guided at $385M-$415M. [sec.gov: Form 8-KA filing for something that happened between reports and matters enough to tell shareholders now. filed 2026-08-05, exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000432/joby-8kx20260805xexx99_1.htm]
- Cash and burn. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments $2,263.8M at 2026-06-30 (2025-12-31: $1,407.9M; the carried dossier has $2,466.2M at 2026-03-31). Net cash used in operating activities $317.6M for the six months; purchases of property and equipment and other long-lived assets $106.6M. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]. Q2 alone: operating cash use of about $173M and Capital expenditureMoney spent on long-lived things — buildings, machines, servers — rather than on running costs. of about $29M. The decline in cash from Q1 to Q2 is $202.4M.
- Shares. 989,124,237 common shares outstanding at 2026-08-03. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
- Certification status. The 10-Q says three of the five FAA stages are completed or substantially completed, the fourth is "approximately 75% complete" and the fifth is progressing. The shareholder letter says the company made its strongest progress yet in the fifth and final stage, with five aircraft flying (including its first FAA-conforming aircraft) and 12 more in production. First eIPP flights are expected in September in Texas (Dallas-Fort Worth), targeting first passengers in 2026. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL; 8-K filed 2026-08-05, exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000432/joby-8kx20260805xexx99_2.htm]
- Archer ITC schedule. The ITC instituted its investigation on 2026-04-09. Fact discovery ends in late September 2026, the evidentiary hearing is set for January 2027, the Administrative Law Judge's Initial Determination for 2027-05-14 and the Commission's final decision for 2027-09-14. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL, legal proceedings note]
- Toyota joint venture and the second tranche. On 2026-06-29 Joby Aero and Toyota formed a joint venture, Joby Toyota Aero Manufacturing Preparation Company, to manufacture the S4 Series: Toyota 51% and Joby 49%, initial contributions $1.02M and $0.98M, and a five-person board (three Toyota, two Joby). The agreement states that a closing condition of the second $250M Toyota tranche is not satisfied until the "Future Agreements" (exclusive manufacturing supply and related agreements) are in effect. The 10-Q still describes the additional $250.0M as subject to closing conditions. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-06-30, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000378/joby-20260629.htm; 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
- Acquisition and equity programme. On 2026-08-08 Joby agreed to buy 100% of Strix Holdings, Inc. for a $500M base purchase price, subject to adjustments, in cash except stock consideration to management members expected at about $50.0M at $7.4752 per share. Closing needs regulatory and national-security approvals, with an outside date of 2027-02-08 (extendable). On 2026-08-11 the company entered an equity distribution agreement for up to $750M of common stock at the market, with commissions up to 3.0%. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-11, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000162828026055505/joby-20260808.htm]
- Warrants and Blade earn-out shares. The public warrants (14,237,486 outstanding at 2026-06-30, $11.50 exercise price) expired on 2026-08-10 after trading ended 2026-08-07. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-07-28, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000427/joby-20260728.htm]. A prospectus supplement of 2026-09-10 registers the resale of 2,419,801 shares issued to the Blade seller for the acquired operations' EBITDA milestones. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-09-11, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000162828026061440/joby-20260910.htm]
- Accounting officer. On 2026-09-02 the board appointed Controller Sergey Novikov as Principal Accounting Officer. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-09-09, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819848/000181984826000453/joby-20260902.htm]
- Where the new filings meet the carried view (stated as fact, no line changed). The carried seed lists a catalyst "FAA Type Inspection Authorization (TIA) flight testing progress → US type certificate issuance"; the 10-Q reports stage 4 at about 75% (item 5). The carried bear case cites "~25% DilutionIssuing new shares, so each existing share owns a smaller slice of the same company. in 16 months" and the seed's catalysts include "next dilutive capital raise"; the filings show the $750M at-the-market programme and the Strix share consideration (item 8). The carried seed names a "Second $250M Toyota tranche close" catalyst; item 7 gives the condition status. The carried seed's price figures rest on market data this delta does not refresh.
What held
- The company still reports one operating segment, and revenue is dominated by Blade passenger and Department of Defense services rather than eVTOL fares: the 10-Q segment note describes helicopter and fixed-wing passenger facilitation in the Northeast United States and Southern Europe, customer-directed flights and on-base operations. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
- The 0.75% convertible senior notes due 2032 ($690.0M principal) and the capped calls ($63.3M cost) are as in the carried dossier. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
- Archer litigation remains pending in both the California court and the ITC. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
- Toyota remains a more-than-10% holder with a board designee and a parts supplier. [sec.gov: 10-Q filed 2026-08-06, same URL]
How our view changed
2 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on Joby Aviation, newest first.
- current
A funded, certification-stage option on being the first FAA-certified eVTOL
A funded, certification-stage option on being the first FAA-certified eVTOL
Company details
| Industry | Robotics |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Joby Aviation |
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