
MaxLinear
- Ticker
- MXL
- Beat
- hardware
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $169M
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $64.8M
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 10 days ago
A real AI-optical DSP ramp (Keystone/Rushmore) bolted onto a flat legacy-broadband body and an unreserved $160M+ arbitration — the stock at $89 already prices the pure-play outcome the income statement hasn't earned; the 80% post-Q1 spike has run past sell-side fair value ($68).
23 mentions across our dossiers
- BOTHBroadcom×5
- BOTHMarvell Technology×5
- BOTHCredo Technology×4
- RIVALAnalog Devices×1
- TRADEIntel×1
- RIVALMACOM×1
- RIVALMediaTek×1
- RIVALMicrochip Technology×1
- RIVALQualcomm×1
- RIVALSemtech×1
- RIVALTexas Instruments×1
- TRADETSMC×1
“- Optical DSP: competes directly with Marvell, Broadcom, and Credo — all larger or more focused.”Broadcom · BOTH · from MaxLinear’s dossier
Weekly closes
- Short interest: 4,460,007 sh · 1.38 days to cover, FINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- Next print: in 90 days, Scheduled · 1 Feb 2027, scheduled
Who is buying
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 4,460,007 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 1.38
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Operating margin | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $136M USD | -13.1% share of revenue | -$14.7M USD | $1.9M USD | $187M USD | 81.6M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 31 Dec 2023 | $125M USD | -33.3% share of revenue | -$17.8M USD | $1.3M USD | $187M USD | 81.9M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 31 Mar 2024 | $95.3M USD | -78.3% share of revenue | $7.6M USD | $8.3M USD | $192M USD | 83.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 30 Jun 2024 | $92.0M USD | -44.4% share of revenue | -$5.7M USD | $3.0M USD | $185M USD | 83.9M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 30 Sept 2024 | $81.1M USD | -82.3% share of revenue | -$34.9M USD | $4.1M USD | $148M USD | 84.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 31 Dec 2024 | $92.2M USD | -44.7% share of revenue | -$30.0M USD | $2.2M USD | $119M USD | 84.6M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 31 Mar 2025 | $95.9M USD | -48.0% share of revenue | -$13.4M USD | $2.0M USD | $103M USD | 86.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 30 Jun 2025 | $109M USD | -22.6% share of revenue | $9.3M USD | $1.2M USD | $109M USD | 87.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 30 Sept 2025 | $126M USD | -32.7% share of revenue | $4.4M USD | $5.7M USD | $112M USD | 87.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 31 Dec 2025 | $136M USD | -10.9% share of revenue | $6.7M USD | $3.7M USD | $72.8M USD | 86.5M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 31 Mar 2026 | $137M USD | -12.5% share of revenue | -$10.3M USD | $1.4M USD | $61.1M USD | 89.5M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 30 Jun 2026 | $169M USD | -2.5% share of revenue | $2.5M USD | $2.3M USD | $64.8M USD | 90.7M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
MaxLinear’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
CashDebt
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Sources added: 0 → 3The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 3 (deep-dive-2026-06-20.md → deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Revenue figure revised: 37% → $218.1MRevenue moved from 37% (deep-dive-2026-06-20.md) to $218.1M (deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-22 | filing | 10-Q: quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, net revenue $218.1MQ3 2026 net revenue $218,057K (vs $126,459K); net income $28,902K, $0.30 diluted EPS. Nine months net revenue $524,092K, net loss $14,475K. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 10-Q |
| 2026-10-22 | guidance | 8-K 2.02: Q3 2026 net revenue $218.1M; $70M revolver increaseQ3 2026 net revenue $218.1M; GAAP diluted EPS $0.30. Amendment No. 3 dated 16 Oct 2026 adds $70M incremental revolving commitments (total $200M) and lowers the liquidity covenant threshold from $80M to $60M. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 8-K |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q123 Apr 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q429 Jan 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q323 Oct 2025
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-20), 289 words, 6 filing mentions
- The dossier: What held, 72 words, 3 filing mentions
The MaxLinear dossier
The verdict
A real AI-optical DSP ramp (Keystone/Rushmore) bolted onto a flat legacy-broadband body and an unreserved $160M+ arbitration — the stock at $89 already prices the pure-play outcome the income statement hasn't earned; the 80% post-Q1 spike has run past sell-side fair value ($68).
Primary sources
SEC filings
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-20)
- Q3 results. Net revenue $218.1M, up 29% from $168.8M in Q2 2026 and up 72% from $126.5M in Q3 2025; the infrastructure business was up 210% year on year on optical AI data-centre products. GAAP gross margin 58.7% (Q2: 57.8%; Q3 2025: 56.9%); GAAP operating expenses $97.8M; GAAP operating margin 13.9% (Q2: (2.5)%; Q3 2025: (32.7)%); GAAP diluted EPS $0.30 (Q2: $0.02; Q3 2025: $(0.52)). Non-GAAP gross margin 60.0%, non-GAAP operating margin 29.5%, non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.62 (Q2: $0.35; Q3 2025: $0.14). [sec.gov: Form 8-KA filing for something that happened between reports and matters enough to tell shareholders now. filed 2026-10-22, exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1288469/000128846926000060/a09302026exhibit991.htm; quarter ended 2026-09-30]
- Q4 2026 outlook. Revenue $240M to $260M; GAAP gross margin 58.0% to 61.0% (non-GAAP 59.0% to 62.0%); GAAP operating expenses $96M to $101M (non-GAAP $65M to $70M); fully diluted share count 99.7M. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-10-22, exhibit 99.1, same URL]
- Credit agreement. On 2026-10-16 MaxLinear signed Amendment No. 3 to its 2021 credit agreement with Wells Fargo as agent, adding $70M of incremental revolving commitments to bring the revolving facility to $200M. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-10-22, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1288469/000128846926000060/mxl-20261022.htm; 8-K exhibit 99.1, same URL as item 1]
- Shares. 91,000,008 common shares outstanding at 2026-10-15. [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. filed 2026-10-22, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1288469/000128846926000061/mxl-20260930.htm]
- Where the new filings meet the carried view (stated as fact, no line changed). The carried verdict calls the optical ramp a "real AI-optical DSP ramp... bolted onto a flat legacy-broadband body": the release reports infrastructure revenue up 210% and total revenue up 72% year on year (item 1). The carried open item uses "~89.5M" GAAP shares from the Q1 2026 equity statement; the 10-Q cover now shows 91,000,008 (item 4) and the Q4 outlook assumes 99.7M diluted shares (item 2). The carried seed's price figures rest on market data this delta does not refresh.
What held
- The company still reports GAAP and non-GAAP results with a wide gap between them (GAAP operating margin 13.9% against non-GAAP 29.5%). [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-10-22, exhibit 99.1]
- Gross margin stayed in the high 50s on a GAAP basis. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-10-22, exhibit 99.1]
- The Keystone PAM4 DSP platform remains the named growth driver, with Rushmore and Annapurna cited as the next products. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-10-22, exhibit 99.1]
How our view changed
2 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on MaxLinear, newest first.
- current
A real AI-optical DSP ramp (Keystone/Rushmore) bolted onto a flat legacy-broadband body and an unreserved $160M+ arbitration
A real AI-optical DSP ramp (Keystone/Rushmore) bolted onto a flat legacy-broadband body and an unreserved $160M+ arbitration
The research around MaxLinear
Covered in the Knowledge Base
Hardware — Memory & Compute Architecture
Company details
| Industry | Semiconductors |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit MaxLinear |
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