
Public Service Enterprise Group
Our readA 90%-regulated New Jersey wires utility wearing a merchant-nuclear data-center costume — you are paid ~17x for a 6–8% regulated compounder, and the AI-power optionality is real but unpriced *and* unproven; own it as a rate-base bond with a free nuclear call option, not as the next Constellation.
- Ticker
- PEG
- Beat
- energy
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $2.6B
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $192M
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 2 days ago
A 90%-regulated New Jersey wires utility wearing a merchant-nuclear data-center costume — you are paid ~17x for a 6–8% regulated compounder, and the AI-power optionality is real but unpriced *and* unproven; own it as a rate-base bond with a free nuclear call option, not as the next Constellation.
3 mentions across our dossiers
“End buyers behind that pipeline are the usual names — Amazon/AWS, Microsoft, Google, Meta — though PSEG cautions in-state commitments have lagged without state tax incentives, pushing some load to neighboring zones.”Microsoft · TRADE · from Public Service Enterprise Group’s dossier
Weekly closes
- Insiders sold, 90 days: 7,341 sh · 10 filings, Form 4 · 2 Nov 2026
- Short interest: 8,787,141 sh · 1.74 days to cover, FINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- Next print: in 112 days, Scheduled · 24 Feb 2027, scheduled
Who is buying
- Insiders sold, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 2 Nov 2026
- 10 filings · 7,341 shares
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 8,787,141 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 1.74
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Operating margin | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $2.5B USD | 22.4% share of revenue | -$229M USD | $916M USD | $57.0M USD | 498.3M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 31 Dec 2023 | $2.6B USD | 26.6% share of revenue | -$255M USD | $965M USD | $54.0M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 31 Mar 2024 | $2.8B USD | 24.8% share of revenue | -$136M USD | $797M USD | $1.2B USD | 498.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 30 Jun 2024 | $2.4B USD | 24.0% share of revenue | -$355M USD | $837M USD | $113M USD | 498.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 30 Sept 2024 | $2.6B USD | 24.3% share of revenue | -$145M USD | $768M USD | $203M USD | 498.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 31 Dec 2024 | $2.5B USD | 18.1% share of revenue | -$611M USD | $978M USD | $125M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 31 Mar 2025 | $3.2B USD | 24.7% share of revenue | $421M USD | $628M USD | $894M USD | 499.0M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 30 Jun 2025 | $2.8B USD | 29.1% share of revenue | -$309M USD | $787M USD | $186M USD | 499.1M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 30 Sept 2025 | $3.2B USD | 26.5% share of revenue | $322M USD | $728M USD | $334M USD | 499.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 31 Dec 2025 | $2.9B USD | 17.5% share of revenue | -$408M USD | $1.1B USD | $132M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 31 Mar 2026 | $3.8B USD | 27.9% share of revenue | $578M USD | $693M USD | $404M USD | 498.3M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 30 Jun 2026 | $2.6B USD | 18.1% share of revenue | -$216M USD | $766M USD | $192M USD | 498.4M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
Public Service Enterprise Group’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
CashDebt
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | What happened |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Form 4 cluster: 7 PSEG insiders have 3,039 shares withheld for FICA taxes, 16 Oct 20267 insiders filed Form 4 for 16 Oct 2026, all code F withholdings at $71.49 to satisfy FICA taxes. Total 3,039 shares (LaRossa 1,639).filing · SEC Form 4 · 20 Oct 2026 |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q15 May 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q426 Feb 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q33 Nov 2025
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-21), 578 words, no filing mention
- The dossier: What held, 56 words, no filing mention
The Public Service Enterprise Group dossier
The verdict
A 90%-regulated New Jersey wires utility wearing a merchant-nuclear data-center costume — you are paid ~17x for a 6–8% regulated compounder, and the AI-power optionality is real but unpriced *and* unproven; own it as a rate-base bond with a free nuclear call option, not as the next Constellation.
Primary sources
SEC filings
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-21)
- Q3 2026 (actuals): operating revenues $3,020M against $3,226M in Q3 2025 [Q3 release, Attachment 1]; that is a 6.4% fall. PSE&G revenues $2,526M ($2,535M); PSEG Power & Other $532M ($749M). Consolidated operating income $622M ($855M).
- Q3 earnings (actuals): GAAP net income $376M, $0.76 per share (Q3 2025: $622M, $1.24). Non-GAAP operating earnings $574M, $1.15 per share (Q3 2025: $565M, $1.13). The gap is a $251M pre-tax mark-to-market loss and a $21M pre-tax NDT fund loss, less $74M of tax [Q3 release, Attachment 8].
- Segments, Q3 2026 (actuals): PSE&G net income $506M ($515M), which the release puts down to higher depreciation and interest on investment "not reflected in current rates" and the timing of taxes, partly offset by energy-efficiency and transmission investment. PSEG Power & Other operating earnings $68M ($50M); GAAP net loss $(130)M (net income $107M) [Q3 release].
- Nine months to 2026-09-30 (actuals): revenues $9,422M ($9,253M); net income $1,451M, $2.91 per share ($1,796M, $3.59); non-GAAP operating earnings $1,777M, $3.56 per share ($1,667M, $3.33) [Q3 release, Attachments 2 and 8]. Operating cash flow $2,537M ($2,577M); investing outflow $2,282M ($2,060M) [Q3 release, Attachment 4].
- Q2 2026 (actuals), for the bridge: net income $334M, $0.67 per share (Q2 2025: $585M, $1.17); non-GAAP operating earnings $425M, $0.86 per share ($384M, $0.77) [Q2 release]. The release says PSE&G reached a peak summer load of 10,446 MW on 2026-07-02, the highest in 14 years.
- Guidance: 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS $4.28 to $4.40 maintained (guidance, as of 2026-11-02), and the 6% to 8% operating-earnings CAGR through 2030, rate-base CAGR 6% to 7.5%, and a $24B to $28B 2026-2030 capital programme, over 90% regulated (guidance) [Q3 deck, slides 4-5]. Full-year 2026 regulated Capital expenditureMoney spent on long-lived things — buildings, machines, servers — rather than on running costs. of about $4.2B is "on track"; Q3 regulated investment was about $1.1B [Q3 deck]. The company repeats it can fund the plan "without the need to issue new equity or sell assets" [Q3 release].
- Nuclear (actuals): Q3 capacity factor 95.5% (92.4%), generation 8,172 GWh (7,903), fuel cost $7.18/MWh ($6.68). Over 95% of expected 2026 output is hedged; 2026 generation is forecast at 30-32 TWh (guidance). The deck says PSEG has "submitted proposals into PJM RBP process" and lists data-center and PPA "optionality" with no signed contract named. It shows PJM capacity prices of $329/MW-day (2026/27), $333 (2027/28) and $325 (2028/29) [Q3 deck, slide 12].
- New Jersey regulation: the deck says PSE&G "worked constructively with the Sherrill Administration" on two Executive Orders and "anticipates filing a proposal with the BPU to address the regulatory lag of capital investments made since our last distribution rate case"; a BPU Phase 2 report on the utility business model is expected in early 2027. Residential gas heating bills were cut 5% from 2026-10-01. A FERC transmission formula update adds about $60M of annual revenue from 2027-01-01, subject to true-up [Q3 deck, slide 11].
- Balance sheet, 2026-09-30 against 2025-12-31 (actuals): total debt $25,634M ($24,074M), of which commercial paper and loans $1,075M ($1,529M); stockholders' equity $17,362M ($16,982M) [Q3 release, Attachment 3]. The deck gives consolidated debt to capitalization of 60%, liquidity of about $3.9B including $837M of cash, and PSEG Power net cash collateral postings of $610M. PSEG Power issued $400M of 5.55% notes due 2031 in September 2026 [Q3 deck, slides 14-15].
- Per-share items (actuals): dividend $0.67 per quarter ($0.63); stock price at period end $67.34 against $83.46 a year earlier; book value per share $34.85 [Q3 release, Attachment 7]. The prior seed's price at analysis was ~$79.89 (2026-06-20).
What held
- Earnings guidance and the 6-8% growth target are unchanged (fact 6).
- PSE&G is still most of the earnings: $1,425M of the $1,777M nine-month operating earnings (fact 4).
- No hyperscaler nuclear offtake is announced; the option is still described as optionality (fact 7).
- Nuclear output stays above 95% hedged for 2026 (fact 7).
How our view changed
2 dossiers on Public Service Enterprise Group since . The verdict has held each time.
The research around Public Service Enterprise Group
Covered in the Knowledge Base
Energy & Power
Company details
| Industry | Energy |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Public Service Enterprise Group |
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