
Symbotic
- Ticker
- SYM
- Beat
- robotics
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $721M
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $1.7B
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 14 days ago
A genuinely differentiated case-handling robotics moat wrapped around an ungovernable accounting-and-concentration core — adverse ICFR opinion + active SEC whistleblower probe + >90% Walmart revenue means the multiple is pricing a clean compounder that the filings say does not yet exist.
9 mentions across our dossiers
“Why the moat is narrower than bulls think (preview of Lens 13): cube storage is one architecture among several, the buyer ultimately compares total-cost-of-ownership across Exotec shuttles, Symbotic, Ocado, and increasingly cheap Chinese A…”AutoStore Holdings · BOTH · from AutoStore Holdings’s dossier
Weekly closes
- Insiders sold, 90 days: 40,225 sh · 5 filings, Form 4 · 28 Oct 2026
- Short interest: 17,693,063 sh · 10.14 days to cover, FINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- Insiders bought, 90 days: 293,613 sh · 5 filings, Form 4 · 23 Oct 2026
- Next print: in 23 days, Scheduled · 23 Nov 2026, scheduled
Who is buying
- Insiders sold, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 28 Oct 2026
- 5 filings · 40,225 shares
- Insiders bought, last 90 daysSEC Form 4 · newest 23 Oct 2026
- 5 filings · 293,613 shares
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 17,693,063 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 30 Sept 2026
- 10.14
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Operating margin | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $392M USD | -13.8% share of revenue | $49.2M USD | -$4.7M USD | $259M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 30 Dec 2023 | $360M USD | -7.0% share of revenue | -$32.3M USD | $2.2M USD | $486M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 30 Mar 2024 | $393M USD | -16.5% share of revenue | $18.6M USD | $2.5M USD | $901M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 29 Jun 2024 | $470M USD | -8.0% share of revenue | $33.5M USD | $16.8M USD | $870M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 28 Sept 2024 | $565M USD | 1.9% share of revenue | -$120M USD | $20.7M USD | $727M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 28 Dec 2024 | $487M USD | -4.7% share of revenue | $198M USD | $7.4M USD | $903M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 29 Mar 2025 | $550M USD | -3.7% share of revenue | — | — | $955M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 28 Jun 2025 | $592M USD | -4.4% share of revenue | — | — | $778M USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 27 Sept 2025 | $618M USD | -7.4% share of revenue | — | — | $1.2B USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 27 Dec 2025 | $630M USD | 1.0% share of revenue | — | — | $1.8B USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 28 Mar 2026 | $676M USD | 0.9% share of revenue | — | — | $2.0B USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 27 Jun 2026 | $721M USD | 4.6% share of revenue | — | — | $1.7B USD | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
Symbotic’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
FY24 · as of Dec 2024
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
FY25 · as of Dec 2025
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | contract | 8-K: Walmart Enterprise Master Automation Agreement, initial commitment about $6.0bn29 Oct 2026 Enterprise Master Automation Agreement with Walmart: initial additional spend commitment approx. $6,000,000,000 over several years; $125,000,000 development programme addendum. Symbotic expects backlog increase of up to $6,920,000,000. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 8-K |
| 2026-10-28 | filing | Form 4 filings: 5 Symbotic insiders, RSU vesting and salesMartins, Kuffner, Alexander, Freve and Boyd filed 9 Form 4s 23-28 Oct 2026: 97,015 shares acquired on RSU vesting (code M); 47,419 shares sold (code S), mostly sell-to-cover; Boyd's 9,194 under a 10b5-1 plan. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4 |
| 2026-10-27 | filing | Form 4 cluster: 5 Symbotic insiders, RSU vesting and one 10b5-1 sale5 insiders filed Form 4: RSU conversions on 23 Oct of 97,015 Class A shares in total; William Boyd III sold 9,194 shares on 27 Oct at $37.90-$39.48 under a 10b5-1 plan. | agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4 |
| 2026-10-17 | editorial note | Sources added: 0 → 1The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 1 (deep-dive-2026-06-17.md → deep-dive-2026-10-17.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-17 | editorial note | Revenue figure revised: 93% → $720.8MRevenue moved from 93% (deep-dive-2026-06-17.md) to $720.8M (deep-dive-2026-10-17.md). | dossier |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q25 Aug 2026
- 10-Q · 2026-Q16 May 2026
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-17), 819 words, 10 filing mentions
- The dossier: What held, 72 words, no filing mention
The Symbotic dossier
The verdict
A genuinely differentiated case-handling robotics moat wrapped around an ungovernable accounting-and-concentration core — adverse ICFR opinion + active SEC whistleblower probe + >90% Walmart revenue means the multiple is pricing a clean compounder that the filings say does not yet exist.
Primary sources
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-17)
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Fiscal Q3 revenue was $720.8M, up 22% year on year, a little above the top of the $700–720M guide the prior dossier recorded. Quarter ended 2026-06-27: total revenue $720,838K vs $592,121K; Systems $671.0M, Software maintenance and support $12.8M (vs $8.1M), Operation services $37.1M. Nine-month revenue was $2,027.3M, up 24% [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. filed 2026-08-05, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1837240/000183724026000043/sym-20260627.htm].
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Gross profit and operating income. Q3 gross profit was $160.9M. Operating income was $32.9M vs a $(25.8)M loss a year earlier. Net income was $55.0M, of which $43.3M went to noncontrolling interests and $11.7M to common stockholders, or $0.09 per Class A share, basic and diluted. Nine-month net income was $77.8M. Other income, net, was $30.6M in the quarter, including a $19.4M fair-value gain on strategic investments that the 10-Q excludes from Adjusted EBITDA.
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Adjusted EBITDA was $95.2M vs $45.4M a year earlier, above the $80–85M guide recorded in the dossier. The 10-Q bridge from net income of $55.0M adds stock-based compensation of $50.5M, equity-method loss of $9.6M, depreciation and amortization of $10.2M, and internal-control remediation costs of $1.5M, and subtracts interest income of $11.3M and the $19.4M fair-value gain.
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Backlog was about $22.5B at 2026-06-27, "the vast majority" with Walmart and Exol, against the dossier's ~$22.7B at 2026-03-28. Remaining performance obligationsRevenue a company has already signed contracts for but has not yet delivered or booked. on contracts over one year were also $22.5B, mostly undelivered Systems under the Walmart Master Automation Agreement and the Exol commercial agreement; the 10-Q excludes contracts the customer can cancel without a substantial penalty from that figure.
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Customer concentration rose in the quarter. One customer, labelled "Customer A" in the 10-Q table, was 90.5% of Q3 revenue (83.8% a year earlier) and 87.0% of nine-month revenue (85.1%). It was 82.8% of accounts receivable at 2026-06-27 (75.8% at 2025-09-27). The table does not name the customer; the backlog text names Walmart and Exol as the main counterparties.
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Systems counts. 77 Systems in Deployment in the quarter vs 46 a year earlier, and 56 Operational Systems under software maintenance contracts vs 42. The dossier carried 52 operational systems and 70 in deployment for the prior quarter.
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The material weakness is still reported. CEO and CFO concluded disclosure controls were not effective at 2026-06-27 because of the previously reported material weakness over the timing of recognition of cost of revenue, which, with percentage-of-completion accounting, also affected the timing of revenue. Management says the weakness is not remediated, names an ERP vendor-management system due in fiscal 2027, and gives no remediation date. A 10-Q carries no auditor opinion, so the adverse ICFR opinion in the dossier is neither confirmed nor changed by this filing.
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Litigation. On 2026-07-23 the court granted in part and denied in part Symbotic's motion to dismiss the amended securities class action (class period 2023-11-20 to 2025-02-05 in the amended complaint). A scheduling conference was set for 2026-08-31. The consolidated derivative actions were stayed under a 2025-11-24 order pending that motion. The legal note and Part II Item 1 of this 10-Q do not use the words "investigation" or "whistleblower", so the SEC Rule 21F-17 matter in the dossier's verdict and Lens 10 does not appear in this filing's legal disclosure. Whether the FY2025 Form 10-KA company’s audited annual report to the US regulator. The most complete thing it publishes. discloses it was not checked, because that 10-K is not on the shelf.
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Cash and working capital. Cash and equivalents were $1,746.4M at 2026-06-27 vs $1,245.0M at 2025-09-27; the balance sheet shows no debt line. Unbilled accounts receivable rose to $459.8M from $181.7M, accounts receivable to $288.5M from $186.7M, and deferred revenue (current) to $1,553.7M from $1,242.3M. Nine-month operating cash flow was $305.6M and Free cash flowCash left after paying to run and maintain the business. Unlike profit, it is hard to flatter with accounting choices. $242.8M, but the Q3 quarter alone was $(147.3)M operating cash flow and $(164.6)M free cash flow.
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Accounting-policy change. Symbotic moved stock-based compensation for time-vesting awards from the accelerated to the straight-line attribution method and applied it to prior periods. The change cut Q3 net income by $2.2M and raised nine-month net income by $5.7M, and recast the year-ago quarter's operating loss from $(36.6)M to $(25.8)M. Stock-based compensation was $50.5M in Q3 and $151.8M for nine months on the Adjusted EBITDA table ($142.9M on the cash-flow statement).
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Share structure at 2026-06-27. Class A 128,931,651; Class V-1 71,373,131; Class V-3 403,559,196. Total, against the dossier's 602.7M at 2026-03-28.
Where the new facts touch the dossier's own lines (stated as fact; the lines stay as written). The verdict names an "adverse ICFR opinion", an "active SEC whistleblower probe" and ">90% Walmart revenue". The 10-Q reports a continuing material weakness (item 7), no mention of the SEC matter in its legal note (item 8), and a quarterly customer share of 90.5% with nine-month 87.0% (item 5). The seed's EV/sales range and price targets rest on web prices; this run has no filed price and does not recompute them. The seed lists "Q3 FY2026 print" as a catalyst for about August 2026; that print is the filing summarised here. No MarketCall is referenced in the dossier.
What held
- The business is still one customer deep: 90.5% of Q3 revenue, 82.8% of receivables, with backlog still overwhelmingly Walmart and Exol (items 4, 5).
- The material weakness over cost and revenue timing is still unremediated and disclosure controls are still ineffective (item 7).
- Revenue is still recognised on percentage-of-completion and growth is still Systems-led: Systems were $671.0M of $720.8M (item 1).
- Securities litigation is still live (item 8).
How our view changed
2 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on Symbotic, newest first.
- current
A genuinely differentiated case-handling robotics moat wrapped around an ungovernable accounting-and-concentration core
A genuinely differentiated case-handling robotics moat wrapped around an ungovernable accounting-and-concentration core
Company details
| Industry | Robotics |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Symbotic |
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