Skip to content
Stories Everything we made,newest first. All Markets AI Startups Code Tue 9 Jun Markets · Call TSMC: own the bottleneck, not the brand Own the bottleneck, not the brand: the chokepoint every AI chip depends on, at a discount to all of them. Tue 9 Jun Markets · Call Broadcom: the right custom-silicon thesis at the wrong price The right custom-silicon thesis at the wrong price — watching the most expensive, lowest-quality way to play it. Tue 9 Jun Markets · Call SK Hynix: the largest HBM rent, valued like a Korean cyclical The largest slice of the HBM scarcity rent, valued like a Korean cyclical — with a Nasdaq listing as the re-rating catalyst. Tue 9 Jun Markets · Call Micron: priced like a cyclical at the top, contracted like a utility Priced like a peak-cycle memory-cyclical, contracted like a utility — a re-rating bet, not an earnings bet. Tue 9 Jun Markets · Call NVIDIA: paying a market multiple for a franchise financing its own demand Still constructive on the best franchise in AI infrastructure — but the risk has migrated from the income statement to the balance sheet. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Parameter Scaling Is Dead. Multi-Dimensional Scaling Is the New Paradigm. AI scaling has moved from raw parameter count to four memory-hungry dimensions — inference-time compute, MoE, data curation, architecture — making memory bandwidth the universal bottleneck. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Inference Costs Will Fall 90% by 2028 — The Memory Stack Is the Mechanism Four independent memory-stack improvements — HBM4, KV-cache compression, optical interconnect, and architecture — could compound to a ~10x fall in per-token inference cost by 2028. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call BTC Miners Pivoting to AI Infrastructure: The Power Arbitrage Bitcoin miners already hold the power, cooling, and space AI needs — mining revenue is expected to fall from 85% to under 20% of total as they convert to AI hosting. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Energy Ownership Is the New AI Moat Power, not GPUs or algorithms, is AI's real moat — a location-specific power contract is scarce and non-fungible in a way chip access never is. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Nuclear Is the Only Power Source That Scales for AI Data Centers AI data centers need reliable, carbon-free baseload at massive scale — nuclear is the only source that delivers all three, and owners can charge a premium for it. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Transformer Successors: State-Space Models and Linear Attention Are Worth Watching Transformers' quadratic memory scaling is the KV-cache problem. State-space and linear-attention models scale linearly — hybrids blending both look like the likely path. Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call Lumentum: The Optics Play That Bridges Power and Memory Bullish · LITE Mon 13 Apr Markets · Call KV Cache Compression Will Cut Inference Costs 50% Before HBM4 Ships at Scale KV caches are AI inference's biggest bottleneck. Software compression (6x cited) is shipping faster than HBM4 hardware — and will drive the cost collapse of 2026-2027.