
Denali Therapeutics
- Ticker
- DNLI
- Beat
- biopharma
- Size
- Public Company
- Revenue
- $3.6M
- as of Jun 2026
- Cash
- $202M
- as of Jun 2026
- Burn
- $97.8M/qtr
- as of Jun 2026
- Runway
- ~2 qtr at this rate
- as of Jun 2026
- Researched · Fresh
- 10 days ago
First-ever blood-brain-barrier biologic just got approved (AVLAYAH, Mar 2026) — Denali is now a de-risked platform with a small rare-disease revenue base, but the May LUMA Parkinson's failure gutted the biggest pipeline call option, so you're paying $3.3B for a ~$525M-peak orphan drug plus optionality the market just learned to distrust.
NO LINKS READ YET · no published dossier names Denali Therapeutics beside another company
Weekly closes
- Short interest: 15,475,322 sh · 8.07 days to cover, FINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- Next print: in 2 days, Scheduled · 5 Nov 2026, scheduled
Who is buying
- Shares sold shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 15,475,322 shares
- Days to unwind the shortFINRA · settled 15 Oct 2026
- 8.07
The reported figures
| Period | As of | Revenue | Free cash flow | Capex | Cash | Shares outstanding | Grading | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 ’23 | 30 Sept 2023 | $1.3M USD | -$89.4M USD | $2.1M USD | $148M USD | 138.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’23 | 31 Dec 2023 | $0 USD | -$101M USD | $2.2M USD | $127M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’24 | 31 Mar 2024 | $0 USD | -$116M USD | $2.1M USD | $60.6M USD | 142.6M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’24 | 30 Jun 2024 | $0 USD | -$96.0M USD | $4.8M USD | $74.7M USD | 143.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’24 | 30 Sept 2024 | $0 USD | -$63.0M USD | $3.9M USD | $90.6M USD | 143.9M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’24 | 31 Dec 2024 | $0 USD | -$88.8M USD | $5.1M USD | $175M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’25 | 31 Mar 2025 | — | -$137M USD | $5.1M USD | $56.9M USD | 145.3M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’25 | 30 Jun 2025 | $0 USD | -$79.6M USD | $4.3M USD | $141M USD | 146.2M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q3 ’25 | 30 Sept 2025 | — | -$106M USD | -$1.4M USD | $91.0M USD | 146.7M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q4 ’25 | 31 Dec 2025 | — | -$100M USD | $1.5M USD | $205M USD | — | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q1 ’26 | 31 Mar 2026 | — | -$134M USD | $2.5M USD | $388M USD | 158.7M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
| Q2 ’26 | 30 Jun 2026 | $3.6M USD | -$97.8M USD | $805K USD | $202M USD | 159.8M shares | Filed · primary | sec.gov |
Denali Therapeutics’s figures as the company reported them in its filings. Quarters are calendar quarters, so a company whose year ends in January shows each fiscal quarter under the calendar quarter it falls in. An empty slot is a quarter we hold no figure for.
FY25 · as of Dec 2025
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Lighter bars: Q4 worked out as the full-year total minus the three reported quarters.
Operating cash flow minus capital spending.
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
Q2 ’26 · as of Jun 2026
A rising count is dilution: each existing share owns less of the company.
Latest filing: sec.gov
What happened
| Date | Type | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Sources added: 0 → 3The dossier's cited-link count grew from 0 to 3 (deep-dive-2026-06-20.md → deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
| 2026-10-24 | editorial note | Revenue figure revised: $145.2M → $3.6MRevenue moved from $145.2M (deep-dive-2026-06-20.md) to $3.6M (deep-dive-2026-10-24.md). | dossier |
- 10-Q · 2026-Q17 May 2026
- 10-K · 2025-Q426 Feb 2026
- 10-Q · 2025-Q36 Nov 2025
- The dossier: Refresh delta (since 2026-06-20), 476 words, 8 filing mentions
- The dossier: What held, 67 words, 3 filing mentions
The Denali Therapeutics dossier
The verdict
First-ever blood-brain-barrier biologic just got approved (AVLAYAH, Mar 2026) — Denali is now a de-risked platform with a small rare-disease revenue base, but the May LUMA Parkinson's failure gutted the biggest pipeline call option, so you're paying $3.3B for a ~$525M-peak orphan drug plus optionality the market just learned to distrust.
Primary sources
SEC filings
Source documents — open to read in full
Refresh delta (since 2026-06-20)
- First commercial quarter of AVLAYAH. Net product revenue was $3.6M in the first full quarter of commercial availability; cost of goods sold was $0.1M, low because manufacturing costs incurred before approval were expensed to research and development. Projected third-quarter 2026 net product revenue is $10.0M to $12.0M. [sec.gov: Form 8-KA filing for something that happened between reports and matters enough to tell shareholders now. filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1714899/000171489926000096/ex991pressreleaseq22026.htm; quarter ended 2026-06-30]
- Launch indicators. Interest in starting treatment has tracked ahead of internal expectations; about 80% of the healthcare organisations treating eligible MPS II patients have been reached; published commercial policies cover more than 50% of covered lives; 14 state Medicaid programmes have published coverage. The release gives no patient count. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, same URL]
- Results. Research and development expenses $97.0M (Q2 2025: $102.7M). Net loss $127.6M, or $0.68 per share (Q2 2025: $124.1M, $0.72); six-month net loss $256.0M, or $1.37 per share (2025: $257.1M, $1.50). [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, same URL]
- Cash and the voucher sale. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities about $940.0M at 2026-06-30. On 2026-07-27 the company completed the sale of its rare pediatric disease priority review voucher to a large pharmaceutical company under an asset purchase agreement dated 2026-06-12, for gross proceeds of $195.0M, taking pro forma cash above $1.1B. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, same URL; 8-K filed 2026-07-28, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1714899/000171489926000086/dnli-20260727.htm]
- Shares. 159,847,403 common shares outstanding at 2026-07-31, excluding 28,331,779 shares issuable on exercise of Pre-funded warrantA right to buy shares that has already been paid for, bar a token penny. It behaves like a share the investor already owns, so leaving it out of a share count understates the company’s real size.. [sec.gov: Form 10-QThe quarterly version of the annual report. Lighter, and not audited. filed 2026-08-06, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1714899/000171489926000097/dnli-20260630.htm]
- Pipeline timing. Zafinofusp alfa (DNL126, Sanfilippo A): Phase 3 confirmatory study start-up under way, and a BLA submission and potential accelerated approval expected in 2027. DNL593 (FTD-GRN): enrolment complete at 40 participants, results now expected in 2027 (previously by end 2026), and FDA orphan drug designation granted in August 2026. DNL952 (Pompe): Phase 1 dosing began in Q2 2026, initial data expected in 2027. DNL628 (tau): Phase 1b biomarker data expected in the first half of 2027. DNL921 (amyloid): proof-of-concept data expected in 2027. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, same URL]
- Discontinued and terminated programmes. In May 2026 Denali and Biogen announced the Phase 2b LUMA study of DNL151 (LRRK2) missed its primary and secondary endpoints and discontinued further development in idiopathic Parkinson's disease. In April 2026 Takeda terminated the collaboration to co-develop and co-commercialise DNL593, for strategic reasons not related to efficacy or safety data. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1, same URL]
- Where the new filings meet the carried view (stated as fact, no line changed). The carried dossier's open item on AVLAYAH's first commercial print is answered by item 1. The carried open item on the "DNL593 FTD-GRN and DNL126 MPS IIIA precise readout dates" meets item 6: DNL593 results move into 2027 and the DNL126 BLA is expected in 2027. The carried seed's price figures rest on market data this delta does not refresh.
What held
- AVLAYAH remains described as the first FDA-approved transferrin-receptor blood-brain-barrier medicine, approved under accelerated approval in March 2026. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1]
- The company remains well funded: about $940.0M at quarter end before the $195.0M voucher sale. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1]
- The confirmatory Phase 2/3 COMPASS study continues to support label expansion and global submissions. [sec.gov: 8-K filed 2026-08-06, exhibit 99.1]
How our view changed
2 dossiersEvery dossier we have written on Denali Therapeutics, newest first.
- current
First-ever blood-brain-barrier biologic just got approved (AVLAYAH, Mar 2026)
First-ever blood-brain-barrier biologic just got approved (AVLAYAH, Mar 2026)
Company details
| Industry | Biopharma |
| Size | Public Company |
| Website | Visit Denali Therapeutics |
Others in biopharma
5 namesWhere Denali Therapeutics sits against the other names we cover on this beat. Each line is that company’s verdict, not a summary of it.
Eli Lilly
LLYThe machine kept accelerating and the stock barely moved.
Cash $4.9B
Viking Therapeutics
VKTXThe burn peaked, the science advanced, and the board responded by authorizing a $500M buyback it cannot fund while signing a new ATM to sell the same…
Cash $502M · Runway ~1.0yr at this rate
Novo Nordisk
NVOA fallen-angel GLP-1 franchise trading at a generic-pharma multiple on a still-growing branded book
Structure Therapeutics
GPCRBest-in-class *oral* GLP-1 efficacy in the wrong race
Cash $273M · Runway ~2 qtr at this rate
BioAge Labs
BIOAA burned-then-reborn aging-biology platform whose entire ~$730M cap now rests on one Phase 1 asset (oral brain-penetrant NLRP3 inhibitor BGE-102) prin…
Cash $74.0M · Runway ~4 qtr at this rate