The Index
400 dossiers · 1 need attention
A research screener for every company we cover. Search a name or ticker, then sort and triage dossiers by coverage freshness, our conviction and trading relevance.
| A genuine launch-and-connectivity monopoly wrapped inside an unprofitable $2T+ aspiration stock — Starlink is the real business, but at ~110x sales the market is paying for Mars, orbital AI data centers, and a $60B Cursor bet that aren't earnings yet. | — | 8 | |
| A $20M-revenue EO manufacturer trading like a $1B growth story on a 200% YTD re-rate — the cost-per-satellite edge and Tether-backed balance sheet are real, but the price already discounts a Merlin success that hasn't launched, and three customers are half the revenue. | — | 8 | |
| A genuinely great company and a genuinely terrible price — the only Western full-stack launch+satellite pure-play, compounding at ~50%, but trading at ~64x EV/sales with the entire Neutron thesis still un-flown. Own the business, fade the multiple. | — | 0 | |
| A real, accelerating dual-use (space + combat-proven drones) franchise welded onto a still-loss-making, AEI-controlled, serial-dilution SPAC — the business is finally interesting but the cap table and cash burn are doing the pricing; WATCHING, not yet ownable, until the ATM overhang clears and adjusted EBITDA turns. | — | 8 | |
| A commercial-imagery company that quietly became a sovereign-defense satellite-services contractor — the backlog (+72%) and the Rule-of-40 inflection are real, but a $1.5B ATM on top of ~30x sales means the bet is now whether durable government demand outruns relentless dilution. | — | 8 | |
| A spec-locked, sole-source space-and-defense subsystem roll-up riding Golden Dome and OBBBA tailwinds at ~50% growth — but it is a leveraged (2.1x D/E) PE-sponsor exit story with a live material weakness, ~$680M of floating-rate debt, and a still-rich ~34x forward EV/Adj-EBITDA; the 58% drawdown is a Trive-Capital supply unwind, not a thesis break. WATCHING (coverage note: this is fundamentally a defense prime-supplier — see exclusion flag). | — | 8 | |
| A debt-levered, cash-machine LEO monopoly being re-rated on spectrum scarcity — own the durable EMSS/IoT/Aireon annuity, but the spectrum-takeout dream is now mostly in the price. | — | 8 | |
| Best-in-class aerospace-aftermarket compounder firing on all engines (18% organic, record margins) — but the moat is in the price; at ~60x forward earnings the stock is a great company priced as a bond you can never lose on, and any organic deceleration re-rates it hard. | — | 8 | |
| GSAT is no longer a fundamental story — it is an Amazon merger-arb at $90/sh (≈10.8% gross spread, 2027 close); buy the deal-break protection (Apple re-signed, $592M reverse break fee, FCC defends the spectrum, vote already done), not the satellites. The only real risk is regulatory drag, not deal failure. | — | 8 | |
| A balance-sheet roll-up of the fragmenting Western defense-satcoms supply chain (DataPath→Stellar Blu→Comtech) wrapped around an orbit-agnostic ground-terminal franchise that wins whether GEO or LEO wins — but the stock already prices the re-rating (~23x EV/EBITDA) while organic margins are still convalescing and two customers are 44% of revenue. | — | 8 | |
| A debt-free, 59%-gross-margin device compounder mispriced as "space" — the real bet is whether the FY25–26 fitness-wearable share surge is a durable re-rating or a post-pandemic echo that decays back to mid-single-digit growth at a 24x multiple that already pays for the good case. | — | 8 | |
| A real lunar/launch franchise wrapped in a serial-failure rocket, a money-furnace P&L, and a ~32x-sales price — the Golden Dome/SciTec defense pivot is the only thing that justifies the multiple, and Eclipse first-flight is the binary that settles it. | — | 0 | |
A AST SpaceMobilecatalyst in 42d | A pre-revenue option on owning the only direct-to-unmodified-phone cellular layer in space — FCC-blessed and ~$4.5B-funded through ~90 satellites, but the entire bull case is a single binary that resolves in 2027: can it manufacture, launch, and switch on a 45–60 satellite constellation before Starlink's good-enough text/voice layer makes "broadband from space" a feature nobody pays a premium for. At ~$31B on $71M of 2025 revenue, the market is already paying for flawless execution it has not yet seen. | — | |
| A genuine post-COVID turnaround now firing on operating leverage (Q1 op margin 11.8%, book-to-bill 1.26, $734M record backlog) — but the stock already 3x'd to a ~64x trailing / ~27x forward P/E that prices the recovery as permanent, leaving thin margin of safety with a levered balance sheet and a live Lufthansa patent overhang. | — | 8 |
| 8 |