The Markets Desk — Week 31 · Tue 28 Jul 2026
Markets
Market Calls
EVERY THESIS TIMESTAMPED · SCORED WHEN RESOLVED · NO DELETIONSDirectional calls with conviction, timeframe, and a public grade. Analytics live on the Track Record — this page is the ledger itself.
14 total14 active0 validated0 invalidated
June 2026
BullishTSMC: own the bottleneck, not the brand$TSMHighActiveWatchingBroadcom: the right custom-silicon thesis at the wrong price$AVGOMedActiveBullishSK Hynix: the largest HBM rent, valued like a Korean cyclical$000660.KSMedActiveBullishMicron: priced like a cyclical at the top, contracted like a utility$MUMedActiveBullishNVIDIA: paying a market multiple for a franchise financing its own demand$NVDAMedActive
April 2026
BullishParameter Scaling Is Dead. Multi-Dimensional Scaling Is the New Paradigm.HighActiveBullishInference Costs Will Fall 90% by 2028 — The Memory Stack Is the MechanismHighActiveBullishBTC Miners Pivoting to AI Infrastructure: The Power ArbitrageMedActiveBullishEnergy Ownership Is the New AI MoatHighActiveBullishNuclear Is the Only Power Source That Scales for AI Data CentersMedActiveWatchingTransformer Successors: State-Space Models and Linear Attention Are Worth WatchingLowActiveBullishLumentum: The Optics Play That Bridges Power and Memory$LITEHighActive
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How calls are graded
A call locks at publication — direction, conviction, timeframe, and target are timestamped and can’t be edited. Resolution is mechanical: the stated direction against the realized move. Accuracy breakdowns, calibration, and the resolved feed live on the Track Record. Method details: Methodology · Backtest.