Theses: Harnesses & Agent Systems
2 theses·Avg conviction 6.5/10·2 stale
T1never reviewed
Agentic reasoning will consolidate around a standard stack (VLM + tool use + memory + RL) by end of 2027
7.0/10
no history yetT3never reviewed
Evolutionary code generation (AlphaEvolve pattern) will become a standard optimization tool in every major tech company by 2028
6.0/10
no history yetHow theses work
Each thesis has a conviction score (0–10) and a history of re-scores with reasons. A thesis is flagged stale if it hasn't been re-reviewed in 90 days — that's a signal evidence may have moved. Re-score by appending a new dated line under **History.** in the thesis markdown.