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The Markets Desk — Week 40 · Thu 1 Oct 2026
Compute market / 44 dealsThe deals ledger

What compute costs, and who is paying for it.

The rental price of a GPU, the deals that move the market, when they run out, and the companies that sell compute. Every number is dated and says what kind of price it is.

This week

One chip, the H100 · list and market side by side
H100, rented on VastObserved offers
$2.97/hr

Vast · median of offers · week to 25 Sept 2026

H100 on Azure, on demandList price
No Azure rows yet — the first lands with Friday's run.

Azure East US rate card

H100 on Azure, a year reservedList price
No Azure rows yet — the first lands with Friday's run.

Azure East US rate card

Deals announced this quarterQ4 2026
0

Announced in Q4 2026 · 44 on the Ledger

A marketplace offer and a rate card are two different kinds of price. They sit next to each other here so you can compare them; the board never works one out from the other.

What a commitment saves

Azure’s own rate card, East USThe full chart →

No Azure rows yet — the first lands with Friday's run.

The Ledger, latest

Who is paying whom for computeAll 44 deals →
The newest published compute deals
AnnouncedDealTypeValueSource
25 Sept 2026An unnamed AI lab commits to a 10-year Barber Lake lease following Fluidstack's term, ~$5.2B; Fluidstack lease re-phasedSite lease$5.2B~$5.2B incremental aggregate contracted revenue, extending the site's contracted term to 20 years.Cipher Digital 8-K, 2026-09-25
24 Sept 2026Anthropic commits $11.6B over seven years to Akamai Cloud for CPU workloads; Akamai issues Anthropic a warrant for up to ~5%Capacity contract$11.6B$11.6B contractual commitment; potential expansion of up to $9B more (~$20B total).Akamai 8-K Ex. 99.1, 2026-09-24
17 Aug 2026Nvidia gives SB Energy residual value guaranties, capped at $105B, on ~4.25 GW of Ohio data center leases to OpenAIBackstop$105BCumulative cap of $105B on the initial commitment; Nvidia may, at its discretion, back ~3.8 GW more.NVIDIA 8-K, 2026-08-17
30 Jul 2026Blackstone leads a $10B senior secured financing for Firmus, backed by take-or-pay contracts with investment-grade counterpartiesLoan against chips$10BBlackstone Private Credit Fund 8-K, 2026-07-30
28 Jul 2026AMD leases 377 MW from Core Scientific for 15 years and backs 152 MW of neocloud leases, with rights to ~1.9 GW moreSite leaseundisclosedCore Scientific: more than $14B of potential base contracted revenue across ~530 MW at five sites.Core Scientific 8-K, 2026-07-28

The maturity wall

When the published deals run out, by year
2030$9.7B 1 deal
2035$6.7B 2 deals
2036$5.2B 1 deal
2040$7B 1 deal
2041undisclosed 1 deal
  • Each deal's end is its start date plus its term, worked out here. 6 deals state both. 38 deals are left off, because without both there is no end date to place.
  • Values are the headline figures the parties disclosed. A value marked “up to” is a ceiling — the most the deal can reach — and is counted at that ceiling.

Who pays whom

Capacity buyers and providers, by the value they are party to
Top buyers by published value
BuyerDealsPublished value
OpenAI5$138.4B2 up to · 1 undisclosed
Meta4$47.2B1 up to · 1 undisclosed
Microsoft2$27.1B
Amazon1$18B
Anthropic2$11.6B1 undisclosed
Jane Street1$6B
NVIDIA1$3.4B
Undisclosed customer1undisclosed1 undisclosed
Top providers by published value
ProviderDealsPublished value
Amazon Web Services1$100B
CoreWeave6$65.9B3 up to
Nebius2$29.4B
Cerebras1$20B
IREN2$13.1B
Akamai1$11.6B
Oracle1undisclosed1 undisclosed

A deal counts in full for every party on its side, so each column ranks names — it is not a market total and is never added up. A network of who owes whom will follow as a figure.

What GPU money costs

Loans against chips that state their rate
Loans against chips, newest first
AnnouncedBorrowerInstrumentRateSource
16 Oct 2025TeraWulfTeraWulf subsidiary issues $3.2B of 7.750% senior secured notes due 2030 for the Lake Mariner expansion7.75%TeraWulf 8-K, 2025-10-23
19 May 2025CoreWeaveCoreWeave issues $2.0B of 9.250% senior unsecured notes due 20309.25%CoreWeave 8-K, 2025-05-28

The providers

45 companies that sell compute, listed by hand
The compute providers, their last close and their deals
CompanyKindTickerCloseWeekDeals
MicrosoftHyperscalerMSFT516.17+4.5%2
Amazon (AWS)HyperscalerAMZN249.67-1.6%4
AlphabetHyperscalerGOOGL343.92-1.6%5
OracleHyperscalerORCL137.10-7.1%1
Meta PlatformsHyperscalerMETA751.66+12.9%5
CoreWeaveGPU cloudCRWV87.59+7.7%13
Nebius GroupGPU cloudNBIS237.33+6.2%5
IRENGPU cloudIREN——3
WhiteFiberGPU cloudWYFI19.62+3.4%0
Crusoe EnergyGPU cloud———0
LambdaGPU cloud———0
NscaleGPU cloud———0
Together AIGPU cloud———0
FluidstackGPU cloud———7
VultrGPU cloud———0
Lightning AI (Voltage Park)GPU cloud———0
TensorWaveGPU cloud———0
FirmusGPU cloud———1
Northern DataGPU cloud———0
NexGen CloudGPU cloud———0
Denvr DataworksGPU cloud———0
Cirrascale Cloud ServicesGPU cloud———0
SesterceGPU cloud———0
VerdaGPU cloud———0
GMI CloudGPU cloud———0
Radiant (formerly Ori)GPU cloud———0
DigitalOceanGPU cloudDOCN——0
Core ScientificData-hall landlordCORZ——2
TeraWulfData-hall landlordWULF——5
Cipher DigitalData-hall landlordCIFR——4
Hut 8Data-hall landlordHUT——1
Galaxy DigitalData-hall landlordGLXY——1
Applied DigitalData-hall landlordAPLD26.25-6.7%1
BitdeerData-hall landlord———0
Riot PlatformsData-hall landlord———0
RunPodMarketplace———0
HyperbolicMarketplace———0
SF ComputeMarketplace———0
CUDO ComputeMarketplace———0
ModalMarketplace———0
HumainNational cloud———0
Core42National cloud———0
Yotta Data ServicesNational cloud———0
ScalewayNational cloud———0
SAKURA internetNational cloud3778.T——0

closes to 25 Sept 2026 · deals are published Ledger rows naming the company

Hyperscaler
The giant general clouds, which rent GPUs alongside everything else they sell.
GPU cloud
Companies whose main business is renting out GPUs they own or lease.
Data-hall landlord
Builders of powered data halls who lease the building, not the chips, to the GPU clouds.
Marketplace
Sellers of other people’s GPUs — they match buyers to capacity they mostly do not own.
National cloud
Clouds built to keep a country’s computing inside its own borders.

Futures watch

A forward curve for GPU time, once it trades

NYMEX, part of CME Group has filed two futures contracts on what a GPU rents for: GPU1 (H100) and GPU2 (B200).

One contract
730 GPU-hours — one GPU for a month
Listed at once
36 monthly contracts — three years ahead
Settlement
Financially settled in cash — no GPU time changes hands.
First listing
To be announced — pending review by the CFTC

CME's earlier notice, SER-9785, gave 5 Oct 2026. SER-9785R, 25 Sept 2026 replaced that date with “TBD”. The index each contract settles on is Silicon Data's; how settlement is averaged is in rulebook chapters CME has not yet published.

checked 1 Oct 2026 against CME's notices

How this board is kept

  • Every price is written by a weekly job from a public source. None is typed in by hand.
  • Every number carries its date and says what kind of price it is: an offer seen on a marketplace, or a list price from a rate card.
  • Those two kinds of price are never combined into one number — not averaged, not divided, not compared as a percentage.
  • Every deal is read in its source and links to it. A news report stays a news report until a filing confirms it.
  • The maturity wall, the rankings and the counts are worked out from the published rows each time the page is built. None is stored.
  • The provider list is chosen by hand and says why each company is on it. Method as of 1 October 2026.