Semiconductors

5 calls tracked · 5 active

5
Total Calls
5
Active
Accuracy
Direction Mix
Bull 80%Watc 20%

Companies in this sector

All Calls

LONG$TSMActive

TSMC: own the bottleneck, not the brand

Own the bottleneck, not the brand: the chokepoint every AI chip depends on, at a discount to all of them.

Fabricates and CoWoS-packages every leading-edge AI accelerator — NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, Apple alike.

~22x forward earnings: a discount to NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom, the names that cannot ship without it.

ai-infrastructuresemiconductorsfoundry
TSMC
High3YSemiconductorsUpdated 5d ago9 Jun
WATCH$AVGOActive

Broadcom: the right custom-silicon thesis at the wrong price

The right custom-silicon thesis at the wrong price — watching the most expensive, lowest-quality way to play it.

The named winner of 'custom silicon eats commodity inference' — AI revenue +143%, FY27 AI guided >$100B.

Trades at a premium to NVIDIA on every earnings multiple while earning a third of the ROE.

ai-infrastructuresemiconductorscompute
Broadcom
Med1YSemiconductorsUpdated 5d ago9 Jun
LONG$000660.KSActive

SK Hynix: the largest HBM rent, valued like a Korean cyclical

The largest slice of the HBM scarcity rent, valued like a Korean cyclical — with a Nasdaq listing as the re-rating catalyst.

~62% HBM share and ~two-thirds of NVIDIA's HBM4 — the largest rent-capture in the cluster.

72% operating margin and ~61% ROE, yet a single-digit forward multiple — rent in the earnings, not the multiple.

ai-infrastructuresemiconductorsmemory
SK Hynix
Med1YSemiconductorsUpdated 4d ago9 Jun
LONG$MUActive

Micron: priced like a cyclical at the top, contracted like a utility

Priced like a peak-cycle memory-cyclical, contracted like a utility — a re-rating bet, not an earnings bet.

Entire CY2026 HBM output sold under multi-year fixed price-and-volume contracts.

Overtook Samsung into the #2 HBM slot; power-efficiency edge keeps it in every NVIDIA generation.

ai-infrastructuresemiconductorsmemory
Micron
Med1YSemiconductorsUpdated 5d ago9 Jun
LONG$NVDAActive

NVIDIA: paying a market multiple for a franchise financing its own demand

Still constructive on the best franchise in AI infrastructure — but the risk has migrated from the income statement to the balance sheet.

21x forward earnings is the cheapest growth multiple among the AI-logic leaders — the market prices deceleration, not dominance.

Risk has moved off the income statement: ~$8B of stakes in its own customers and ~$3.4B of equity marks flattering pre-tax income.

ai-infrastructuresemiconductorsmemory
NVIDIA
Med1YSemiconductorsUpdated 5d ago9 Jun