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The Markets Desk — Week 43 · Sun 25 Oct 2026
The stack / 7 companies

Accelerators

The chips themselves, and who is allowed to buy them. Export policy moves this layer faster than silicon does.

The number

days from a BIS effective date to the next guidance cut

This week

Constituents

Constituents and their week
CompanyTickerBeatCloseWeek
CoreWeaveCRWVai54.24-11.7%
Advanced Micro DevicesAMDhardware516.79-2.3%
BroadcomAVGOhardware321.68-2.2%
NVIDIANVDAhardware210.96-1.5%
Marvell TechnologyMRVLdatacenters228.51+0.3%
Groq—serving——
Together AI—serving——

7 on the layer · closes to 2026-10-23

What is being collected

series

A dated number. Collected on a cadence; the chart is the record.

series sources on this layer
SourceWhat it is forAs ofState
mlperf-inference-roundsclaimed-vs-delivered throughput per vendor2026-04-0185 points
vast-gpu-availabilityGPU scarcity proxy (count of offers by GPU); price field belongs to P6 only—not yet collected
openrouter-breadthproviders and context windows over time — NON-PRICE fields only2026-10-2576 points
top500AI supercomputer entrants and accelerator mix—lead

calendar

Forward-dated events a lean can be sealed on.

calendar sources on this layer
SourceWhat it is forAs ofState
bis-export-controlsthe accelerator chokepoint calendar — rule effective dates and entity-list additions; forward events a lean can be sealed on2026-11-2037 points

event-log

Dated decisions where the event itself is the record.

event-log sources on this layer
SourceWhat it is forAs ofState
accelerator-announce-to-shipdays from announcement to availability per accelerator generation—lead
hyperscaler-gpu-countsGPU fleet-size disclosures per hyperscaler—not yet collected
bis-entity-listentity-list additions as a diff—not yet collected

What happened

Events on Accelerators
DateTypeWhat happenedSource
2026-10-23contract8-K: Third A&R Revolving Credit Agreement, up to $3bnEntered 22 Oct 2026 a Third A&R Revolving Credit Agreement (Bank of America, agent): up to $3bn revolving loans, increasable by up to $2bn; replaces the $1.5bn facility dated 30 Jun 2025; five-year maturity; no loans outstanding.agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 8-K
2026-10-16filingMarvell: 5 insiders file Form 4s; 11,185 shares sold under 10b5-1 plansFive insiders filed Form 4s for 15-16 Oct 2026: RSU vesting and tax withholding for all five; Murphy sold 7,500 shares at $235.47 (15 Oct) and Bharathi sold 3,685 shares at $234.97 (16 Oct).agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4
2026-10-14filingCoreWeave: 3 insiders filed Form 4s, RSU settlements and sales3 insiders filed Form 4s 6-13 Oct 2026: 44,232 Class A shares acquired via RSU settlement or vesting; 59,962 sold at $77.18-$88.60 (10b5-1 and tax-withholding sales).agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR Form 4
2026-10-08editorial noteVerdict changed: The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2027 — while the stock rose only …Before (deep-dive-2026-09-25.md): The business ran past the June bull case — Data Center +107%, a $13B Q3 guide, and management now guiding Data Center revenue to more than double in 2027 — while the stock rose only ~18%, so the multiple compressed rather than expanded. The June "priced for perfection" charge is weaker than it was; what replaced it is a larger, more concentrated, more debt-and-prepayment-funded bet on one ramp (Helios/MI450) that has not shipped a rack yet. After (deep-dive-2026-10-08.md): AMD signed a merger agreement on 2026-09-26 to buy World Labs, Fei-Fei Li's spatial-AI lab, for about $8.2B paid entirely in AMD stock. The share count is not fixed; it floats on a 10-day VWAP ending two trading days before closing. At recent prices that is roughly 12.6M to 13.7M new shares, about 0.8% of the 1.632B shares outstanding, so the dilution is small next to the 320M-share OpenAI/Meta warrants. It is the largest of AMD's 2026 tuck-ins and its second-largest deal ever by press count, but it does not move the earnings path. Taalas and FastFlowLM are still NOT confirmed by any AMD SEC filing; only press reports and AMD's own (non-filed) announcements describe them. The thesis rides on Helios exactly as before. Direction WATCHING, conviction MEDIUM, unchanged.dossier
2026-09-28filing8-K Item 3.02: AMD agrees to acquire World Labs for about $8.2bn in stockMerger agreement entered 26 Sep 2026 to acquire all equity of World Labs Technologies, Inc. for about $8.2bn paid in AMD common stock; share count set by a 10-day VWAP before closing.agent:company-events · SEC EDGAR 8-K

Dated ahead

Dated catalysts ahead
DateCompanyPeriodFirmness
2026-11-04Advanced Micro Devices AMD2026-Q3expected
2026-11-11CoreWeave CRWV2026-Q3expected
2026-11-18NVIDIA NVDAFY27-Q3expected
2026-11-27Marvell Technology MRVL2026-Q4expected
2026-12-10Broadcom AVGOFY26-Q4expected